Knicks vs. Heat Predictions, Player Props & Picks for Wednesday, 3/22

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For good reason, the New York Knicks were flying high after their exciting victory against the Denver Nuggets on Saturday, but then came a letdown in Minnesota on Monday. The Timberwolves simply could not miss, New York blew a few late leads and things did not end well. On Wednesday, they look to turn the page in Miami against a Heat team fighting to get into the top six of the Eastern Conference.

There is a lot to consider heading into tonight’s matchup, and our experts have provided their Knicks vs. Heat predictions with odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.

NEW YORK KNICKS VS. MIAMI HEAT PREDICTION: Knicks +1.5 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

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Knicks vs. Heat Predictions for Wednesday, 3/22

One of the many negative aspects of Monday’s loss for the Knicks was that Julius Randle’s career-high of 57 points was wasted. Based on the success that New York has had lately and the fact that they are aware of how critical each of these games is as the regular season winds down, we expect them to come out highly motivated on Wednesday. The last time these two teams met, the Knicks were victorious in a high-scoring and close game, 122-120.

While these teams may be separated by just three wins in the standings, the margin in Pythagorean Wins is a little larger by the margin of 43 to 35. The fact that the Knicks are such a strong team on the road also negates any significant advantage that Miami might have on their home court.

Knicks vs. Heat NBA Picks and Best Bets

While Kyle Lowry is once again listed on the injury report with a knee injury, the point guard is no longer the same player he once was, and his status should not have too much of an impact in either direction. From the perspective of the Knicks, the impact of seeing Jalen Brunson healthy and in the lineup cannot be understated, as he simply makes everyone around him, especially Randle, better.

Both teams play slow; they are ranked 27th and 28th in pace this season, but the Heat also struggle offensively as they are 30th with 109 points scored compared to the Knicks who are averaging 115.4 points per game. While Miami may be better defensively, New York has seemingly played up to their competition, and we cannot discount the motivation factor.

With all of this under consideration, the best bet from our Knicks vs. Heat predictions is to take the points with New York +1.5 with -110 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Knicks vs. Heat Player Props and Odds at BetMGM Featuring Julius Randle, Jimmy Butler & Jalen Brunson

Where do we go from a career-high of 57 points? Well, the problem is that we need to exercise restraint as Randle has eclipsed 26.5 points just four times in his last 10 games and the Heat are one of the more difficult opponents for him. In this situation, it is difficult to hunt a repeat performance and instead perhaps exercise some caution with the under.

Especially if Kyle Lowry is out, but even if not, Jimmy Butler will have the ball in his hand a fair amount. For the Heat to be victorious, they are going to need a strong performance from Butler both in a scoring perspective and as a playmaker in the assist department. In his last 10 games, he is averaging 32.5 points + assists. He has broken his over/under of 29.5 in six of 10 games, while narrowly missing in two others, so we like the over here.

While Jalen Brunson has only eclipsed his assist prop of 5.5 in five of his last 10 games, he has finished with five in four of the games in which he missed. Quite simply, it does not get much closer than that, and if the Knicks are humming and as motivated as they should be on Wednesday, a lot of that will be coming from Brunson.

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