Can ‘Bubble Struggle’ Mavs Find Rhythm On 3-Point Shooting?

As good as Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis have been in the ‘Bubble’, it hasn’t been enough to overcome the Dallas Mavericks’ three-point shooting woes as a team. Can they get their rhythm back before it’s too late?

All teams go through shooting slumps from time to time, but what the Dallas Mavericks are currently going through in Orlando feels more like a ‘total collapse’ than just your average ‘slump.’

Even the Mavs’ only win over the last four games was an uphill climb, as they shot just 37-percent overall and 22-percent in an overtime victory over the Sacramento Kings. Before that win, the Mavs had lost 49 straight games when shooting under 40 percent from the field.

READ MORE: Luka is 'Kareem-Like' In Win Over Kings

Three-point shooting specifically, though, is the main issue for the league’s best offense. And it’s not just one Maverick either, unfortunately. It’s nearly all of them. 

Said coach Rick Carlisle after Friday's workout: "We did a lot of shooting today in practice. ... We've certainly got to take it very seriously, what's happening.''

As good as Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis have been overall, it hasn’t been enough to make up for the entire roster struggling from deep. Here’s how the Mavs’ main players have shot threes in the bubble compared to how they were shooting them in the regular season before the hiatus:

Player

Season 3-Point %

‘Bubble’ 3-Point %

Luka Doncic

32%

29%

Kristaps Porzingis

35%

30%

Tim Hardaway Jr.

40%

30%

Seth Curry

45%

33%

Maxi Kleber

37%

29%

Dorian Finney-Smith

37%

30%

After looking at that, it’s kind of amazing that they’re not 0-4 in ‘Bubble’ play with multiple blowout losses. 

Think back to what coach Rick Carlisle said at bubble's start about what the Mavs needed to work on.

“I don’t see anything big in terms of schematic changes,” Carlisle said. “But I do think we need to get better in a couple of areas. I think defensively, we have a chance to really improve. That’s an area where we were in the 20s in defense at the beginning of the year. Now, we’re around 14 or 15, I think. The top 10 is a goal of ours. We would like to get there.”

Defense. And free-throwing. Perimeter shooting was not on that list.

On the flip side, though, as bad as the three-point shooting has been, perhaps an upswing will come at the perfect time for the Mavs, getting them back in a collective rhythm before the postseason begins.

Even if the shooting comes back around to where it was in March, the Mavs still have glaring defensive issues that could keep them from potentially advancing in a playoff series, especially if against three-time champion Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers.

READ MORE: Mavs - At A 'Physical Disadvantage' - Lose To Clippers

However, those issues didn’t keep the Mavs from going 40-27 through 67 games before the season was suspended. More times than not, Dallas’ high-powered offense was able to push them over the top, even with Doncic missing 13 games and Porzingis missing 16 games.

Among all the flaws this current Mavs roster has, three-point shooting is the unexpected blemish that has hurt them the most so far in Orlando. It’s hard to believe that all of them just forgot how to shoot after four months of not playing, so we’re going to chalk this up as a temporary issue. We’ll take the 67-game regular season sample size as the better evidence over the current four-game Orlando sample size.

In terms of shot analytics, Carlisle said. "We've been 'unlucky' the last couple games. ... When that happens, you've got to balance it out with more aggression. ... low turnovers and get to the line a lot.''

The Mavs now have four more seeding games to try to establish their rhythm again, starting with the Milwaukee Bucks and reigning league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo on Saturday night. Seth Curry - one of the cures to shooting woes - continues to be a question-mark helper; he's listed as doubtful for the weekend. (Dorian Finney-Smith is also now listed at questionable.)

There are other ways beyond long-range bombing to win, of course.

“That’s pretty much what we’ve been saying,” Finney-Smith said. “We’re not going to make shots every night. But we can control our energy.''

Meanwhile, fixing their game from the arc might not be enough to take down the Bucks, the locked-in best team in the East. But this supposed strength must cease in being a weakness ... or else.


Published
Dalton Trigg
DALTON TRIGG

Dalton Trigg is the Editor-In-Chief for Dallas Basketball, as well as the Executive Editor overseeing Inside The Rockets, Inside The Spurs, All Knicks, and The Magic Insider. He is the founder and host for the Mavs Step Back Podcast, which is a proud part of the Blue Wire podcast network. Trigg graduated from the University of Southern Mississippi’s College of Business and Economic Development with a bachelor’s degree in entrepreneurship in 2016. After spending a few years with multiple Dallas Mavericks-related blogs, including SB Nation’s Mavs Moneyball, Trigg joined DallasBasketball.com as a staff writer in 2018 and never looked back. At the start of 2022, he was promoted to the EIC title he holds now. Through the years, Trigg has conducted a handful of high-profile one-on-one interviews to add to his resume — in both writing and podcasting. Some of his biggest interviews have been with Mavs owner Mark Cuban, Mavs GM Nico Harrison, now-retired legend Dirk Nowitzki and many other current/former players and team staffers. Many of those interviews and other articles by Trigg have been aggregated by other well-known sports media websites, such as Yahoo Sports, CBS Sports, Bleacher Report and others. You can find Trigg on all major social media channels, but his most prevalent platform is on Twitter. Whether it’s posting links to his DBcom work, live-tweeting Mavs games or merely giving his opinions on things going on with Dallas and the rest of the NBA, the daily content never stops rolling. For any inquiries, please email Dalton@MavsStepBack.com.