Mavs Must Rebound in Game 2 vs. Jazz to Avoid Grim Series Odds

The Dallas Mavericks can't afford to go down 0-2 to the Utah Jazz as the series shifts to Salt Lake City after Game 2.

With Luka Doncic sidelined due to a left calf strain, the Dallas Mavericks put up a good fight against the fully-healthy Utah Jazz team in Game 1 despite ultimately losing, 99-93.

Thanks in large part to the Mavs' ability to get to the free-throw line, they managed to keep the game close in spite of shooting just 38 percent from the field and 28 percent from 3-point range. Dallas was also severely out-rebounded, 53-34.

Mavs Jazz Dinwiddie Gobert
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Bojan Bogdanovic Mavs Jazz
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Mavs Jazz Jalen Brunson
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“We lost by six, I missed six free throws, so we are right there," said Spencer Dinwiddie, who filled in for Doncic in the starting lineup and finished with 22 points and eight assists. "If anything this should be encouraging for the fan base in my opinion. We are disappointed in the locker room.

"But we had a chance to win it, and we just didn’t do it. ... I think overall, there is room for optimism."

Whether Doncic suits up in Game 2 or not, the Mavs must bounce back and win to avoid historically unfavorable odds as the series shifts to Utah. Dinwiddie is right when he says there's room for optimism, but that room shrinks significantly if Dallas falls into an 0-2 hole.

Throughout NBA history, teams that win Game 1 go on to win the series 78.2 percent of the time. Those odds aren't great for the shorthanded Mavs, but teams have come back from being down 0-1 in a playoff series 182 times, so it’s doable.

However, teams that fall into 0-2 holes have come back to win the series just 7.1 percent of the time. It's happened just 31 times, and the Mavs have been on both the good and bad ends of those situations before. One could make the argument that those grim odds increase if Doncic makes his return, and that might be true. But it's still nothing Dallas wants to play around with.

Mavs Jazz Donovan Mitchell
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Mavs Jazz Luka Doncic
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As for the aforementioned issues on the boards, the Mavs might quite literally have to rebound better in Game 2 in order to rebound and tie the series at 1-1.

"We've got to rebound the ball," said Kidd. "That's something that, again, we knew was going to be an issue, especially playing small. I thought that the guys fought. That's just something that we've got to get better at. If we can do that, then hopefully that will put us in a better seat to win."

The Mavs and Jazz will tip-off Game 2 at American Airlines Center at 7:30 p.m. central time on Monday night. Can the Mavs bounce back? Will Doncic make his series debut? Stay tuned to DallasBasketball.com to get all the latest updates.


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Dalton Trigg
DALTON TRIGG

Dalton Trigg is the Editor-In-Chief for Dallas Basketball, as well as the Executive Editor overseeing Inside The Rockets, Inside The Spurs, All Knicks, and The Magic Insider. He is the founder and host for the Mavs Step Back Podcast, which is a proud part of the Blue Wire podcast network. Trigg graduated from the University of Southern Mississippi’s College of Business and Economic Development with a bachelor’s degree in entrepreneurship in 2016. After spending a few years with multiple Dallas Mavericks-related blogs, including SB Nation’s Mavs Moneyball, Trigg joined DallasBasketball.com as a staff writer in 2018 and never looked back. At the start of 2022, he was promoted to the EIC title he holds now. Through the years, Trigg has conducted a handful of high-profile one-on-one interviews to add to his resume — in both writing and podcasting. Some of his biggest interviews have been with Mavs owner Mark Cuban, Mavs GM Nico Harrison, now-retired legend Dirk Nowitzki and many other current/former players and team staffers. Many of those interviews and other articles by Trigg have been aggregated by other well-known sports media websites, such as Yahoo Sports, CBS Sports, Bleacher Report and others. You can find Trigg on all major social media channels, but his most prevalent platform is on Twitter. Whether it’s posting links to his DBcom work, live-tweeting Mavs games or merely giving his opinions on things going on with Dallas and the rest of the NBA, the daily content never stops rolling. For any inquiries, please email Dalton@MavsStepBack.com.