Bulls-Suns Prop, Spread and Over/Under Picks
PHOENIX -- The Phoenix Suns play host to the Chicago Bulls tonight hoping to extend their winning streak to six games.
Here's what bets to consider:
Trend of the Game Pick: Bulls +5.5 (1 unit)
via KillerSports.com
After last night's home victory over the Indiana Pacers, the Phoenix Suns now host the Chicago Bulls on the second night of a back-to-back. The Bulls, coming off a 29-point victory over Memphis, are in a profitable ATS spot.
Road teams coming off a victory of 21 or more points against a team with no rest are 25-7 ATS since 2021. Teams are also 3-0 ATS if they are an underdog, like Chicago.
Phoenix has been incredibly impressive since their loss against the Clippers two weeks ago. There's no doubt they should win tonight, but there may be some space for the Bulls to keep it close.
Other Notes/Trends:
- Chicago is 10-6 ATS when they are on the road after scoring 120+ points in their previous game since 2021
- Phoenix is 0-6 SU and ATS, including three outright losses, when the total is 227 or higher and they are coming off a game where they went under the total by 16+ points
- Suns are 1-16-1 ATS as favorites of -3.5 or greater and the total is 224 or higher
Lean: Suns-Bulls OVER 226.5
The Suns are 6-3 to the over in the second leg of a back-to-back since Kevin Durant arrived, including 4-0 when the total isn't higher than 229.
Phoenix being one of the older teams in the league typically means they aren't able to give as much effort defensively with limited rest.
Additionally, the over is 3-0-1 in the trend above when the team being backed is an underdog. The Bulls' defensive rating drops nine points on the road compared to at home, however, their offensive rating remains the same.
Due to these teams both being bottom-five in the league in pace and the Suns' recent improvements on defense, this is strictly a lean.
Player Prop: Coby White OVER 16.5 Points + Kevin Durant OVER 4.5 Rebounds (1 unit)
Zach LaVine has been announced as out for the Bulls and Coby White is easily the biggest beneficiary. When LaVine is not in the lineup, White's average points climb from 15.9 to 22.1 per game.
When LaVine has been sidelined this season, White has cleared this number in 17 of 19 contests. The Suns are also allowing the eighth-most points to point guards this season.
With Beal and Booker in the lineup, Durant has cleared 4.5 rebounds in their last 8 games and 25 of 33 overall games this year (76%).
The Bulls are very kind to power forwards on the glass as they are dead-last in the NBA in rebounds allowed.
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