Suns vs Pistons Trends, Betting Pick of the Game

The Phoenix Suns host the Detroit Pistons tonight - here's what to bet.

PHOENIX - The Phoenix Suns host the Detroit Pistons in just a few hours as Monty Williams makes his return to the Valley for the first time since being fired after another failed postseason run at the end of the 2022-23 season. 

The Suns have won their last 13-of-17 entering tonight and are heavy favorites on the moneyline - but what else should bettors target? 

Game Pick: Suns Team Total OVER 125.5 (.75 Unit)

After last night's thriller against Sacramento, the Detroit Pistons come to town as 13-point underdogs.

With the All-Star break and extended rest around the corner, Phoenix could look to simply be better than the 8-46 Pistons tonight at home.

This matchup has a similar feel to the victory over the Washington Wizards ten days ago. The Suns, facing their final opponent of a seven-game road trip, beat the lowly Wizards 140-112 before returning home.

It was an easy spot to have a down game and allow Washington to make it interesting, but they easily took care of business. The same can be said as they look forward to the next week off.

via KillerSports.com

When Cade Cunningham is healthy and playing for the Pistons, they cover as double-digit underdogs about 60% of the time. 

However, since 2022, Detroit has allowed 124.5 points to the opposing offense in their 17 games as underdogs of 10 or more.

Just last night, the Lakers who are 19th in offensive rating, scored 125 points in Los Angeles. Now, the Pistons have to travel to Phoenix, on no rest, and attempt to fourth-best offensive attack in the NBA.

Also, while playing their two-game stint against both L.A. teams, Detroit posted paces of 102.4 and 104. 

Pair that with the recent uptick in pace from the Suns (Average of 102.7 in the last five games), and we might see action up and down the court.

via KillerSports.com

Since 2010, when there is a favorite of 12+ points with upcoming extended rest, the over is 19-9. When the total is 225 or higher, the average points scored for the winning team is 125.3.

With the variability of the expected pace, back-to-back, and the possibility of looking ahead to the All-Star break, we'll back the Suns to score at will here.

FanDuel (-108), DraftKings (-120), BetMGM (-120)

Other Trends/Notes:

- The over is 27-8 when the Suns are coming off a game of 26 or more assists and the game total is less than 240