Eleventh Heaven
When we look back on this regular season, two weekends will stand out: this one and Week 17 (Lions at Packers, particularly if itâs for the division title and, better, for NFC home-field; Cards at Niners, Browns at Ravens, Bengals at Steelers). But this one, I think, will be the best. Itâs the first time in NFL history, in Week 11 or later, that four games will feature both teams with winning percentages of .667 or better. In other words, four really good gamesâand another one that you could easily call the earliest playoff game of the season.
Week 11Â has:
⢠A playoff eliminator to kick it off. That was Thursday nightâs match between twin 5-4 teams on the edge of the playoff raceâMiami 22, Buffalo 9. Winner stays in the chase, loser might have to go 6-0 down the stretch to make it. And, as we saw, Buffalo has no prayer of going 6-0ânot with trips to Denver and New England left in the last six Sundays. (More on the Dolphins-Bills game on Page 2.)
⢠The Sanchize at The Franchise: Newly minted starter Mark Sanchez (assuming heâs digested that celebratory cheesesteak by Sunday) and the 7-2 Eagles travel to 6-3 Green Bay, where Aaron Rodgers plays ridiculously perfect football.
⢠The power of Marshawn Lynch versus the wispy Jamaal Charles. For the third time in six weeks, Seattle (6-3) takes a multi-time-zone trip, and itâll be a loud oneâto Arrowhead Stadium to play the 6-3 Houdini Chiefs. Apparently, some teams still like to run in the NFL. Last weekend, the Chiefs and Seahawks won important gamesâwith a combined 56 percent-44 percent run-pass ratio.
The MMQBu2019s Highlight Reel
Inside the NFLâs Replay Command Center, where the process is supposed to make calls faster, more accurate and more consistent. FULL STORY Mark Sanchezâs transformation began in January with an intervention disguised as a lunch meeting. FULL STORY Geoff Schwartz, now on his fourth team in seven years, and his wife, Meridith, give us an honest look at NFL married life. FULL STORY The NFCâs best team lost its starting quarterback, but Arizona isnât feeling sorry for itself. FULL STORY When a team has a franchise quarterback, it wins. When a team doesnât, it loses. Thatâs the reality of todayâs NFL. FULL STORY Led by the tenacious Ndamukong Suh, the Lionsâ D is the biggest reason Detroit is in contention for the NFCâs No. 1 seed. FULL STORY
⢠A great game 85 percent of America without DirecTV will not see.
Nine of Americaâs top 10 TV markets (Detroit is 11, Phoenix 12) will not get the 7-2 Lions at the 8-1 Cardinals. (San Francisco/Oakland/San Jose is the only one to air Lions-Cards.) And thatâs a shame. But the league chose to make Philadelphia-Green Bay the FOX doubleheader game, changing it from the early- to late-afternoon window. The ratings will be very good, and so I doubt FOX will have doubleheader remorse. But this gameâs too good to be seen by 15 percent of the country, or whatever the number is. Check out
of the late Sunday FOX window.Â
⢠Tom Brady versus the future. New England (7-2) is scoring 40 points a game in its five-game winning streak. Indianapolis (6-3) has the number one offense in football, with the most productive quarterback, Andrew Luck. The highest-scoring offensive season in history is sure to continue Sunday night in Indianapolis.
If you love football, this is a Sunday you want to find a good sports bar with all the games on, gorge on the early ones, and try to watch two at once in the late window. Then youâre permitted to go home and watch Brady-Luck III from your Man (or Woman) Cave on Sunday night.
I like the drama early Sunday too. The Bengals are on the verge of season-ruination, and a trip to play the desperate Saints in New Orleans wonât help. The Browns, in sole possession of first place this late in a season for the first time since 1994, need to keep Brian Hoyer relatively clean from J.J. Watt, which is never easy. Two defensive train wrecks try to get back on the tracks: the Giants against the 49ers in New Jersey, and the Bears against the Vikings in Chicago. Iâm guessing the natives wonât be so friendly when Jay Cutler leads his team onto the field for the noon Central Time kickoff at Soldier Field.
The compelling game, to me, is Patriots-Colts. Luck has faced Brady twiceâtwo years ago this weekend in the regular season, and last year in the divisional playoffs, both times in Foxboro. Game one: New England, 59-24. Game two: New England, 43-22. Walking off the practice field Thursday afternoon, star cornerback Vontae Davis knew what has to be different in round three Sunday night in Indianapolis.
âThis is our third go-round in getting ready for Tom, and one thing we know is weâve got to hit the ground running," Davis said. âWeâve just got to play better from the start. Defensively, I think we know what to expect in a game like this. Weâre jelling as a group, and weâre more ready to play a game like this. I think our guys are buying into the [defensive] system now, and we have more experience in it."
Davis has had success against Brady early in his career as a Miami Dolphin. He intercepted Brady in each 2009 meeting.
âAgainst Tom, youâve got to disguise what youâre doing on defense till the last possible second," Davis said. âYouâve got to play mind games with Tom. Heâs similar to Peyton [Manning]. Every tape Iâve watched this weekâyou canât get a read on what Tomâs going to do. So you just have to play the best technique you can and play the defense the way itâs called, and trust it."
Continuing the ratings-bonanza trend of a season, Iâll be surprised if the FOX late window and the NBC Sunday night game donât have monster numbersâunless, of course, thereâs another 42-0 halftime score in one of the big games. No chance of that, though. Chicagoâs playing in the crowded early window.
In Sundayâs Big Four, my picks:
⢠Seattle 23, Kansas City 20. Russell Wilson makes a couple of big runs late to win it.
⢠Detroit 19, Arizona 16. The Lions have won the last three by 1, 1 and 4. I like Matthew Stafford to find Corey Fuller (the Calvin Johnson understudy) on one big play late in the desert.
⢠Green Bay 37, Philadelphia 20. I just donât think anyoneâs stopping Aaron Rodgers right now.
⢠Indianapolis 41, New England 30. Andrew Luckâs revenge.
Lamar Miller rushed for 86 yards as the Dolphins won for the fourth time in the past five games. (Michael Laughlin/Getty Images)
About Last Night âŚ
Miami 22, Buffalo 9. I doubt sincerely that Peyton Manning was watching Thursday night and saying, That Miami defense is going to give me fits next Sunday. I donât expect the Broncos to be tied up in knots by the Dolphins D, but here are a couple of sobering numbers: Miami has allowed five touchdowns and 11.2 points per game in their recent 4-1 run. And the pass defense is allowing foes to complete only 59 percent of their throws. After suffocating Kyle Orton on Thursday night (will the Bills ever find a quarterback to be a fitting heir to Jim Kelly?), the Dolphins showed theyâre going to be a tough out in the last six weeks, and their 5-2 conference record is important too; Denver is the only AFC team with zero or one conference losses (5-1), so Miami is good in the tiebreaker department. My three other takeaways:
⢠Right tackle is a sore spot, obviously, with emergency starter Dallas Thomas getting turnstiled by Mario Williams for 3.5 sacks. With JuâWuan James having moved from right to left tackle to take over for the injured Branden Albert, Miamiâs going to have to think long and hard about alternatives for the right side after Thomas proved too slow to keep up with a good speed-rusher.
⢠Ryan Tannehill misses some throws, but he avoids the big mistake and give Miami a chance on every series. I love the opportunities offensive coordinator Bill Lazor creates for his wide receivers downfield; now Tannehill just has to hit more of them.
⢠I was worried about the inexperienced Jamar Taylor making his first career start on the big stage Thursday night, with Cortland Finnegan out injured. But Taylor, the second-year cornerback from Boise State, was the best Miami secondary player in this game. He didnât allow a big play all night, and he made a huge stop in run defense on the first series of the third quarter, penetrating on third-and-one with Buffalo up 6-3 to nail Brice Brown for a six-yard loss. What Taylor lacks in experience he makes up for in instincts.
Player You Need To Know This Weekend
Aldon Smith, rush linebacker, San Francisco (number 99). Coming off his nine-game suspension, Smith likely will play at least half the snaps and try to make Eli Manningâs life miserable in New Jersey on Sunday. Smithâs presence is sorely needed; the Niners have but 15 sacks in nine games, and the team has long figured that when Smith returns, so will the edge-rush presence Vic Fangioâs defense has lacked all season. âI would imagine he'd have an 'X' amount of plays and may very well be in there as part of their third-down package," said Giants coach Tom Coughlin. At the very least.
Bose Sound Bite of the Week
Panthers quarterback Cam Newton, addressing concerns on whether or not he's injured:
âIf the question is, âIs Cam hurt?â No, itâs not affecting my game play. You know, Iâm not gonna keep going back to reports that are saying that Iâve been hurt or things that I havenât been saying. The truth of the matter is itâs not important. The more important thing is my main focus is to try to find a way to win. Thatâs the only thing that Iâm worried about. So no matter how I feel, no matter how Coach feels, nobody really cares about that. The truth of the matter is that weâre losing. And somebody tries to point fingers and say this and that about why weâre not winningâif you wanna put the blame on me not being 100%, well, you know, so be it. But I know that if we were on a four-game winning streak, nobody really would care about that, so itâs all about worrying about how to get a win. When you win, everything else works out fine."
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Regular Old Quote of the Week
âThe quarterback, to me ⌠he makes me sick to my stomach. His footwork is atrocious at times. You see him back there in the pocket, heâs throwing off his back foot. Heâs all over the place. Heâs got happy feet. He doesnât set his feet. Heâs throwing off balance, and itâs an accident waiting to happen. Heâs part of the problem â heâs not the whole problem, but heâs certainly part of it ⌠I donât know what to make of Jay Cutler, guys. Itâs almost like heâs convinced that this isnât going to work, and heâs just kind of going through the motions, to me, at times. I donât see the fight. I donât see the passion. I donât see him in the huddle challenging guys."
âRich Gannon, NFL analyst and former NFL MVP, on Jay Cutler, in remarks to WSCR radio in Chicago.
Ten Things Iâll Be Watching For This Weekend
Jimmy Graham leads all tight ends in receptions with 56. (Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
1. The continued implosion that is the Chicago Bears. Itâs not just the wooden performance of Jay Cutler. This is a defense that has played atrocious football. The Bears have allowed 179 points in the first half of their nine games. The Browns have allowed 172 points in their nine games.
2. A nice matchup for Jimmy Graham to dominate. All you fantasians would be playing Jimmy Graham as long as he doesnât have a broken leg. But heâll be matched on many snaps against Cincinnati backup linebacker Emmanuel Lamur. Could be a 150-yard day for Graham on Sunday.
3. Andy Dalton in an important second act. Last time we saw Dalton, he was putting up a 2.0 rating against the Browns eight days ago. There is no one who roots for the Bengals who is not scared witless about Daltonâs ability to be the long-term quarterback solution in Cincinnati. Your move, Andy.
4. Not a gimme for Peyton Manning. St. Louis linebacker Alec Ogletree is coming off the best game of his 1.5-year NFL career, and no one can block rookie Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald. The Rams-Broncos game is in St. Louis, so that will give the locals a home-field noise edge too. But I canât see Shaun Hill beating Peyton Manning. You?
5. Adrian Peterson predictions. The NFL has no idea what is fair punishment for Peterson, and his hearing to get off the NFLâs commissioner exempt list is Monday. My idea: Ban him one more game, without pay (a $691,176 fine), and let him play the last five games of the seasons for the Vikings, starting Nov. 30 against Carolina. That is, if the Vikings want him. The NFL needs to put the ball in Zygi Wilfâs court.
6. The Tom Brady Heir Bowl. Itâs Ryan Mallett making his first career start for Houston against Brian Hoyer of the Browns. When Mallett was a Patriot rookie in 2011, he used to carry to shoulder pads and helmets of Brady and Hoyerâthe two quarterbacks above him on the New England depth chartâoff the field after training-camp practices. Cute. How times have changed.
Talk Back
Have a question or comment for Peter King? Email him at talkback@themmqb.com and it might be included in Tuesdayâs mailbag.
7. The Giants, trying to recapture their manhood.
After one of the worst defensive days in New Yorkâs storied history (Seattle rushed for a team-record 350 yards on the G-Men last Sunday), the Giants see Frank Gore, Carlos Hyde and Colin Kaepernick come to Jersey on Sunday. Over-under on the Ninersâ rushing total: 188. Iâll take the over.
8. Noise. Think it's loud in CenturyLink? Arrowhead begs to differ. Letâs see if the Kansas City crowd can beat up the Seattle crowd in Decibel Competition Sunday starting at noon in the frigid Midwest.
9. Drew Stanton versus the team that gave up on him. In 2007, the Lions made Michigan State Spartan Stanton the 43rd pick in the draft. But after five years employing him, the Lions gave up on himâpretty obvious once Matthew Stafford got drafted number one overall in 2009âand now, in a huge game with playoff implications out the wazoo, Stanton faces the team that gave up on him. âIâd be lying if I said that doesnât make this a little more special," Stanton told me this week. Special, meaning the significance of taking over for Carson Palmer and all.
10. Whoâs blocking Barwin? The sneaky sacker, Connor Barwin of the Eagles, will be used as a chess piece Sunday by Philadelphia defensive coordinator Bill Davis, moving him all over the field to find weak spots of the Packer offensive front. Davis and Barwin have combined to do a good job so farâ10.5 sacks in nine games.
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