Was the Trey Lance Trade a Panic Move?

Was their plan all offseason to trade three first-round picks and a third for a draft pick, or was that a panic move after Plan A fell through?
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After the 49ers acquired the No. 3 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, they chose the right quarterback when they took Trey Lance.

But how did they wind up with the No. 3 pick in the first place? Was their plan all offseason to trade three first-round picks and a third for a draft pick, or was that a panic move after Plan A fell through?

Consider this.

Before the 49ers traded for Lance, they were widely linked to Deshaun Watson, who had requested a trade from the Houston Texans. Then on March 16, 2021, the first civil suit was brought against him. A mere 10 days later, the 49ers traded three firsts and a third to the Miami Dolphins for the No. 3 pick, which they used to take Lance.

Keep in mind, the Browns recently traded three firsts, a third and a fourth to the Texans for Watson and a fifth. So Cleveland essentially traded the Trey Lance package for Watson, who has gone to three Pro Bowls. That's a fair trade. Three firsts and a third for a quarterback who has played one year of college football at North Dakota State is not a fair trade. That's robbery.

It seems likely that Plan A for the 49ers last year was to trade three firsts and a third for Watson and, once the civil suits popped up, they panicked and pivoted to Plan B -- Lance. Which would explain why the 49ers admittedly attempted to trade the No. 3 pick for Aaron Rodgers the day before the draft, and still haven't named Lance their starting quarterback. Remember, Kyle Shanahan said he wants a quarterback who runs like Lamar Jackson and throws like Drew Brees. That's Watson, not Lance.

To be fair, if Lance becomes a franchise quarterback, no one will care how the 49ers went about getting him. But he has to be great, or at least as good as Watson, otherwise he won't live up to the expectations the 49ers created for him.


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Grant Cohn
GRANT COHN

Grant Cohn has covered the San Francisco 49ers daily since 2011. He spent the first nine years of his career with the Santa Rosa Press Democrat where he wrote the Inside the 49ers blog and covered famous coaches and athletes such as Jim Harbaugh, Colin Kaepernick and Patrick Willis. In 2012, Inside the 49ers won Sports Blog of the Year from the Peninsula Press Club. In 2020, Cohn joined FanNation and began writing All49ers. In addition, he created a YouTube channel which has become the go-to place on YouTube to consume 49ers content. Cohn's channel typically generates roughly 3.5 million viewers per month, while the 49ers' official YouTube channel generates roughly 1.5 million viewers per month. Cohn live streams almost every day and posts videos hourly during the football season. Cohn is committed to asking the questions that 49ers fans want answered, and providing the most honest and interactive coverage in the country. His loyalty is to the reader and the viewer, not the team or any player or coach. Cohn is a new-age multimedia journalist with an old-school mentality, because his father is Lowell Cohn, the legendary sports columnist for the San Francisco Chronicle from 1979 to 1993. The two have a live podcast every Tuesday. Grant Cohn grew up in Oakland and studied English Literature at UCLA from 2006 to 2010. He currently lives in Oakland with his wife.