Why the 49ers Should Trade Deebo Samuel Before the Draft
Deebo Samuel is declining.
He was great in 2021, then he was overweight in 2022, as he admitted. He made it a point to come into 2023 in good shape, but he still didn't play better than he did in 2022. And in the Super Bowl, he was terrible -- just three catches on 11 targets.
Ideally, the 49ers would make Samuel the third or fourth option in the passing game at this stage of his career, because he's a terrible route-runner who can't beat man-to-man coverage. Both Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle are better at getting open than Samuel.
But the 49ers can't make Samuel a third option while he's the highest paid offensive skill position player on the team. He's scheduled to cost the 49ers more than $28 million against the salary cap next season. At that price tag, the 49ers have no choice but to keep force feeding him the ball at the expense of better players.
That's why the 49ers should trade Samuel now. The offense is too Samuel-centric. Trading him won't create much cap space this year, but it will create more opportunities for better players. And the 49ers probably will be able to get a second- or third-round pick in exchange.
If the 49ers wait until next year to trade Samuel, they'll save more cap space, but they'll get much less for Samuel in a trade if he continues his decline.
This upcoming NFL Draft is loaded at receiver. The 49ers should trade Samuel before the draft and use the pick they get for him on his replacement.