What Positions Are Bengals Most Likely to Target in First Round of 2024 NFL Draft?

Let's break it down by percentage with the NFL Draft less than one month away.
Mar 3, 2024; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Oregon State offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (OL24) during the
Mar 3, 2024; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Oregon State offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (OL24) during the / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
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CINCINNATI — The Bengals might've signed Trent Brown last week to help solidify their offensive line, but that doesn't mean they won't address the trenches in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft.

A trench pick at No. 18 is by far the most likely selection. What's the percentage chance they address the trenches? What about tight end, cornerback or wide receiver?

It's a question Joe Goodberry addressed on X. Here are my thoughts:

Offensive tackle is the clear favorite. There are plenty of potential candidates including Taliese Fuaga, JC Latham and Amarius Mims, plus is an obvious need for the Bengals. There's probably a 40% chance that they take an offensive tackle in round one.

Defensive tackle isn't far behind, but there's only two candidates that the Bengals would realistically target in round one: Byron Murphy and Johnny Newton. The chances they take a defensive tackle in the first round are at roughly 20%.

Cornerback is the next highest because there are also two prospects the Bengals could realistically target: Quinyon Mitchell and Terrion Arnold. Both guys could be long gone, but there's a chance one of them makes it to No. 18. Let's put their chances of taking a cornerback at 15%.

Tight end is next on the list at 10%. There's only one prospect that will be considered, but if Brock Bowers makes to the Bengals, it's hard to envision a scenario where they pass on him.

Interior offensive line, wide receiver and defensive end are all at 5%. Troy Fautanu, Jackson Powers-Johnson, Graham Barton, Brian Thomas Jr., Laiatu Latu and Jared Verse are all potential targets.

Defensive end is the most interesting of the three because Latu and Verse are high-end prospects. Would the Bengals address that position with their first round pick in back-to-back drafts? Is it worth taking Latu over Murphy if he's only a spot or two higher on their board? The same question applies to Verse and Newton.

It could happen, but it doesn't seem likely, especially because they believe Myles Murphy will take a big step forward in year two.

Complete Breakdown of Bengals First Round Targets by Percentages:

Offensive Tackle: 40%

Defensive Tackle: 20%

Cornerback: 15%

Tight End: 10%

Guard/Center: 5%

Wide Receiver: 5%

Defensive End: 5%

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James Rapien
JAMES RAPIEN

James Rapien is the publisher of Bengals On SI. He's also the host of the Locked on Bengals podcast and Cincinnati Bengals Talk on YouTube. The Cincinnati native also wrote a book about the history of the Cincinnati Bengals called Enter The Jungle. Prior to joining Bengals On SI, Rapien worked at 700 WLW and ESPN 1530 in Cincinnati