Projecting Bills' leaders in every major statistical category in 2024 NFL season

Who will lead the Buffalo Bills in each statistical category? We broke out our crystal ball to find out.

Jan 21, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills defensive tackle Ed Oliver (91) against the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2024 AFC divisional round game at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports / Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

There are plenty of new faces with the Buffalo Bills to kick off the 2024 NFL season, especially in key areas of the field. This means for the first time in a while there will be new statistical leaders in most categories by the end of the 2024 season. We’re going to try to predict who will lead the Bills in each major statistical category by the end of next season. 

Passing yards and touchdowns:

Yards: 4,285 - Josh Allen 

Touchdowns: 31 - Josh Allen 

Nothing too shocking here. Josh Allen, in the last four seasons, has averaged well over 4,000 yards, and we predict he’ll rebound after a ‘disappointing’ 2023 season. The new-look offense under Joe Brady will look to spread the ball to different receivers instead of relying on just one ‘alpha’ target. So expect plenty of receivers getting targets and trying to make plays in the center of the field. 

If Josh Allen extends his #NFL record 40+ TD streak to 5 seasons, we very well may be speaking about it as one of the leagues' "unbreakable" records.

The ability to consistently play at an elite level aside, the health to do so is becoming more and more rare. pic.twitter.com/2nZsDHziBG

— Hänsel (@UberHansen) June 17, 2024

Related: 3 questions that linger entering Bills training camp

Rushing yards and touchdowns: 

Yards: 1,245 - James Cook 

Touchdowns: 7 - Ray Davis 

We’re taking a risk here by having rookie Ray Davis usurp Josh Allen as the Bills rushing touchdown leader, but Davis had 14 touchdowns on the ground during his last season in Kentucky and as Allen gets older he should be looking to run the ball less. With Cook, we’re projecting a slight uptick in production in terms of yards. But, his value lies in his versatility in the passing game. 

Holy Ray Davis cut pic.twitter.com/18CKO42Yj9

— Carter Donnick (@CDonnick1) June 4, 2024

Receiving yards and touchdowns: 

Yards: 925 - Dalton Kincaid 

Touchdowns: 9 - Keon Coleman 

The Bills have a new-look receiving corps, and most of the new faces aren’t prolific when it comes to getting in the endzone. So we’re going to take another risk with another rookie in Keon Coleman. Even if the Bills are moving to a more ‘spread the ball’ approach to their passing game, they’ll still need guys who can make plays over their defenders and that was Coleman’s specialty in college. 

This is the final pass of the final allowable video shooting period on the final day of Buffalo Bills minicamp. Pretty good way to end it from Keon Coleman, from Josh Allen. pic.twitter.com/Fq6HyzEriB

— Sal Capaccio 🏈 (@SalSports) June 13, 2024

Then for Kincaid, he emerged late on the scene towards the end of the season and showed why he was drafted in the first round. Kincaid has the ability to find space in the middle of the field and then make plays once the ball is in his hands.

We were tempted for a Shakir sweep here, and while he’ll get targets and his production will increase substantially, he’ll most likely be the all-rounder for the Bills, hovering at second or third in both statistical categories. 

Love this angle of the Khalil Shakir TD against the Steelers in the Wildcard game#BillsMafia | #GoBills
pic.twitter.com/90h79cE8Wo

— Peter DiBiasi (@DibiasiPeter) June 18, 2024

Related: Overlooked Bills' Tight End provides valuable experience to younger roster

Defense: 

Total tackles: 96 - Terrel Bernard 

Tackles for Loss: 15.5 - Ed Oliver 

Sacks: 11.5 - Gregory Rousseau 

Passes Defended : 9 - Taron Johnson 

Interceptions: 7 - Rasul Douglas 

The Bills defense is still incredibly talented, so the stats will be spread evenly throughout. It was a coin flip to predict the tackle leader between the two linebackers Terrel Bernard and Matt Milano, but we’re giving the nod to Bernard since he’s going to be healthier to start the season. Then for TFL’s, we predict defensive tackle Ed Oliver to lead the Bills in back-to-back seasons. 

still not over this athleticism from Ed Oliver 💥💥💥pic.twitter.com/n76HlWJMxf

— Jenna Cottrell (@JennaCottrell) December 31, 2023

Greg Rousseau will take the next step in his development and tally double digit sacks. Then in the secondary, the unit will be buoyed by their homegrown talent Taron Johnson as the nickel corner, and their newly acquired talent Rasul Douglas as their boundry corner.