Dolphins' Tricky Playoff Path Even Clearer
The Miami Dolphins kept themselves in playoff contention with their victory against the San Francisco 49ers, but the reality is they could be eliminated by the time they take the field for their next game.
The Dolphins kept themselves within two games of the sixth and seventh playoff positions, which currently belong to the Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos with 9-6 records, and those two teams will become out of reach with a victory in either of their final two games.
With the Chargers facing the New England Patriots at home Saturday at 1 p.m. and the Broncos playing at Cincinnati at 4:30 p.m., the Dolphins could find themselves eliminated by the time they go to bed Saturday night.
The Dolphins also have to worry about the Indianapolis Colts, who are tied with the Dolphins and the Bengals for eighth place in the AFC. That's because the Colts would get the nod in the event of a three-way tiebreaker if either the Broncos or Chargers finish 9-8 because the Colts and Dolphins would tie for best conference record among the three teams and the Colts then would get the nod because of their head-to-head victory against the Dolphins.
Ironically, the Colts might need the Dolphins to win out to make the playoffs because if they're involved in a two-way with Denver for the final spot at 9-8, then the Broncos get the tiebreaker because of their victory against the Colts two weeks ago. But head-to-head doesn't apply when three or more ties are involved unless there's a sweep.
To recap, the Dolphins obviously have to win their final two games at Cleveland and at the New York Jets and also still need two of the following three scenarios:
-- The Colts have to lose at least one game, either against the 2-13 Giants or the 3-12 Jaguars.
-- The Chargers have to lose their final two games against the three-win New England Patriots and the two-win Las Vegas Raiders (though both games are on the road).
-- The Denver Broncos have to lose their final two games on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals and at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs will rest most of their front-line players if they have clinched the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs before Week 18, but for that to happen they will have to win at Pittsburgh on Christmas Day or the Bills will have to lose against the Jets on Sunday. That means the Dolphins and their fans should root for the Steelers.
THE POSSIBLE FINAL SCENARIOS WITH THE DOLPHINS FINISHING 9-8
L.A. Chargers 10-7, Miami 9-8, Denver, 9-8, Indianapolis 9-8
6-7 playoff seeds: 6. L.A. Chargers; 7. Indianapolis
L.A. Chargers 10-7, Miami 9-8, Denver 9-8, Indianapolis 8-9
6-7 playoff seeds: 6. L.A. Chargers; 7. Miami
Denver 10-7, L.A. Chargers 9-8, Miami 9-8, Indianapolis 9-8
6-7 playoff seeds: 6. Denver; 7. Indianapolis
Denver 10-7, L.A. Chargers 9-8, Miami 9-8, Indianapolis 8-9
6-7 playoff seedes: 6. Denver; 7. Miami
Note: If the Chargers and Broncos each reach 10 victories, they will land the last two AFC playoff spots. Kansas City, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Houston already have clinched playoff spots