The Dolphins Playoff Outlook Through Dec. 20

The Miami Dolphins continue to creep closer to the other AFC playoff hopefuls, but their margin for error remains slim

The Dolphins evened their record at 7-7 with their 31-24 victory against the New York Jets, joining the 1974 Jets as the only teams in the NFL to reach 7-7 after starting a season 1-7.

With the win, the Dolphins clearly remained in the "playoff picture," though their percentage of making the playoffs stood at 11 percent through the Sunday AFC games, according to FiveThirtyEight, and that percentage didn't changed after the Las Vegas Raiders' 16-14 victory against the Cleveland Browns on Monday.

After playing six teams with a combined record of 26-58 (.310), the Dolphins will close out the season with road games against the New Orleans and Tennessee Titans before the finale at home against the New England Patriots.

Because they still only stand in 11th place in the AFC standings despite having won their past six games, the Dolphins basically have to win out to have a chance of making the playoffs. Their prospects of making the playoffs with a 9-8 record is 11 percent at best, per 538, and that's if their one loss comes against the Saints next Monday night.

If the Dolphins can go 3-0 the rest of the way to cap a remarkable season-ending nine-game streak, the Dolphins would have a 99 percent chance if they indeed finish 10-7 and the Buffalo Bills defeat the New England Patriots next Sunday at Gillette Stadium, according to 538. A New England win in that game would drop the Dolphins' playoff chances to 55 percent even if Miami ends up 10-7.

The reason the Bills-Pats game will have such a heavy influence on the Dolphins' playoff prospects obviously is that multi-team tiebreakers for one or more wild-card berth first involves solving division tiebreakers first — and the Bills already have swept the Dolphins, who also would have a sweep of the Patriots if they finish 10-7.

There are still a lot of things to be settled, but we'll get more clarity (maybe) in Week 16 when the schedules includes matchups like Baltimore and Cincinnati, Kansas City at Pittsburgh and Denver at Las Vegas, among others.

In the meantime, here's a look at the standings as well as the remaining schedules for the AFC teams still in playoff contention.

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REMAINING AFC PLAYOFF CONTENDER SCHEDULES

Kansas City (10-4): vs. Pittsburgh (7-6-1), at Cincinnati (8-6), at Denver (7-7)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .536

New England (9-5): vs. Buffalo (8-6), vs. Jacksonville (2-12), at Miami (7-7)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .405

Tennessee (9-5): vs. San Francisco (8-6), vs. Miami (7-7), at Houston (3-11)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .429

Cincinnati (8-6): vs. Baltimore (8-6), vs. Kansas City (10-4), at Cleveland (7-7)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .595

Indianapolis (8-6): at Arizona (10-4), vs. Las Vegas (7-7), at Jacksonville (2-12)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .452

L.A. Chargers (8-6): at Houston (2-12), vs. Denver (7-7), at Las Vegas (7-7)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .381

Buffalo (8-6): at New England (9-5), vs. Atlanta (6-8), vs. N.Y. Jets (3-11)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .429

Baltimore (8-6): at Cincinnati (8-6), vs. L.A. Rams (9-4), vs. Pittsburgh (7-6-1)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .598

Pittsburgh (7-6-1): at Kansas City (10-4), vs. Cleveland (7-7), at Baltimore (8-6)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .595

Las Vegas (7-7): vs. Denver (7-7), at Indianapolis (8-6), vs. L.A. Chargers (8-6)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .545

Miami (7-7): at New Orleans (7-7), at Tennessee (9-5), New England (9-5) ... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .595

Cleveland (7-7): at Green Bay (11-3), at Pittsburgh (7-6-1), vs. Cincinnati (8-6)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .631

Denver (7-7): at Las Vegas (7-7), at L.A. Chargers (8-6), vs. Kansas City (10-4)... Remaining opponent combined winning percentage: .595


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Alain Poupart
ALAIN POUPART

Alain Poupart is the publisher/editor of All Dolphins and co-host of the All Dolphins Podcast. Alain has covered the Miami Dolphins on a full-time basis since 1989 for various publications and media outlets, including Dolphin Digest, The Associated Press, the Dolphins team website, and the Fan Nation Network (part of Sports Illustrated). In addition to being a credentialed member of the Miami Dolphins press corps, Alain has covered three Super Bowls (for NFL.com, Football News and the Montreal Gazette), the annual NFL draft, the Senior Bowl, and the NFL Scouting Combine. During his almost 40 years in journalism, which began at the now-defunct Miami News, Alain has covered practically every sport at one time or another, from tennis to golf, baseball, basketball and everything in between. The career also included time as a copy editor, including work on several books such as "Still Perfect," an inside look at the Miami Dolphins' 1972 perfect season. A native of Montreal, Canada, whose first language is French, Alain grew up a huge hockey fan but soon developed a love for all sports, including NFL football. He has lived in South Florida since the 1980s.