Which 1st-Round Rookie WR Will Have the Biggest Impact in 2023?

Which of this year's first-round picks at wide receiver will stand above the rest this season?
Kirby Lee - USA TODAY Sports

A wide receiver didn't come off the board until the 20th overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, but it set off a healthy run, as four straight pass-catchers heard their names called thereafter. 

The Seattle Seahawks kicked things off with Ohio State's Jaxon Smith-Njigba, followed by TCU's Quentin Johnston to the Los Angeles Chargers. The Baltimore Ravens grabbed Zay Flowers from Boston College with the next pick, and the run ended with USC's Jordan Addison landing with the Minnesota Vikings.

Which of these talented receivers will make the biggest splash this season?

If you're looking for which of them has the best opportunity for the lion's share of the targets in his respective passing offense, good luck. None of these four are expected to be the No. 1 target for their team this season. 

Smith-Njigba will have both D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett with whom to share targets, while Johnston will have a similar situation with entrenched veterans Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. Flowers will have Odell Beckham Jr. and Rashod Bateman to compete with, and Addison will be a distant second fiddle to perhaps the best receiver in the league in Justin Jefferson.

Addison has the most clear path to at least the No. 2 job, thanks to Adam Thielen's departure, but K.J. Osborn is underrated and already has a rapport with Kirk Cousins. Beckham and Bateman have both had injury issues to contend with recently, which could quickly vault Flowers into a bigger role, assuming the offense opens up a bit with Todd Monken replacing Greg Roman.

Seattle's balanced offense doesn't air it out too much, so Smith-Njigba's opportunities are likely to come as a result of opposing defenses paying too much attention to Metcalf and Lockett. He could have weeks where he disappears, and other weeks where he catches multiple touchdowns. 

The leaves Johnston, who should enjoy a fairly pass-happy offense with Justin Herbert at quarterback and new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore calling the shots. Allen and Williams have both had injury issues of their own, and aren't getting any younger. Even if they're healthy, opposing defenses are likely to give them the same kind of attention that Metcalf and Lockett will get, but the Bolts will throw the ball way more often than Seattle. 

There will be many variables at play here that could go either way, but my money is on Johnston's combination of athletic ability, offensive scheme and supporting cast to give him the best chance of making the biggest impact of any first-round receiver in this draft.


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Luke Easterling
LUKE EASTERLING

Luke Easterling (he/him) has been covering college football and the NFL for more than two decades, with a particular focus on the nexus of both, the NFL Draft. Writing for some of the largest and most recognizable brands in sports media, Luke's experience and expertise in evaluating potential NFL prospects and evaluating team needs/fits has earned the appreciation of his readers, and the respect of his peers. Luke cut his sports journalism teeth at The Tampa Tribune before spending two years at Bleacher Report as a featured columnist covering the NFL Draft and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Luke then spent nearly seven years at USA TODAY Sports Media Group as editor of Draft Wire and Bucs Wire, building both into authoritative destination sites for their respective audiences. Now at The Arena Group, Luke covers the NFL and college football for Athlon Sports, and runs Sports Illustrated's FanNation site for the NFL Draft. A graduate of the University of South Florida, Luke has been a featured guest on ESPN Radio, CBS Sports Radio, Fox Sports Radio, SiriusXM and more.  Based in Tampa, Florida (the true home of the Cuban sandwich), Luke plays the drums, loves 2000s pop-punk, watches way too many British murder mystery shows, and channels the energy of his deep-south Grammy and his full-Italian Nana in the kitchen. Twitter: @lukeeasterling Email: luke.easterling@si.com