ESPN's FPI says the Atlanta Falcons will finish 8-8 and out of the NFL playoffs
If you go by something designed by ESPN called the NFL Football Power Index (FPI), the Atlanta Falcons are in trouble.
Big trouble.
Let's put it this way: Since general manger Thomas Dimitroff and head coach Dan Quinn need the Falcons to do well in the playoff this season to save their jobs after consecutive 7-9 finishes, they'll likely feel a little woozy after reading these FPI numbers and percentages involving their franchise for the 2020 NFL season.
Here it goes, and just so you know, the FPI predicts the outcome this season for each of the NFL's 32 teams in various categories.
For the Falcons . . .
Final record: 8-8.
Chances of reaching the playoffs: 31%
Chances of winning the NFC South: 10%
Chances of making the Super Bowl: 1.9%
Chances of winning the Super Bowl: 0.7%
There are other numbers and percentages produced by ESPN's FPI formula regarding the Falcons, but you get the picture: All of those off-season moves for the Falcons, ranging from the acquisition of Dante Fowler to help the pass rush to the signing of Todd Gurley as a way to resurrect a dead running game, mean nothing.
That is, if you believe ESPN's FPI formula.
To hear that cable network tell it, FPI "is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily."
There's good news here for the Falcons, though
Projections and playing are two different things.
So the Falcons can turn projections into nothingness.