Bust Meter: What Are Chances DT Derrick Brown Will Be a Bust in Detroit?

What are the chances Derrick Brown will be a bust in Detroit?

In the past three days, the buzz surrounding Auburn defensive tackle Derrick Brown being the Lions' first-round pick has picked up steam. 

Back in 2018, Detroit head coach Matt Patricia explained at the NFL combine what he needs in order to be good on defense. 

"I think what you want to do, just from a philosophical standpoint what I'll tell you is this, when you build out -- and this is really both sides of the ball -- you want to build from the ball out. So, start in the middle, and then, work out," Patricia said. 

He added, "You always want to be strong in the middle of your defense. So, anybody that plays that core -- whether it's linebackers or safeties -- those guys are critically important to what you're trying to do. And I think that was one thing that we were able to do consistently over the years at New England."

This has led many to veer from the notion that cornerback Jeff Okudah is a lock to be selected by Detroit at No. 3 overall. 

If Detroit does indeed select Brown, what are the chances the Tigers product will be a bust?

Analysts have noted Brown can be a difference-maker immediately due to his quickness and ability to shoot the gap with sheer strength and power.

The challenge that several NFL analysts have expressed is that Brown’s game is predicated on overpowering opposing linemen.

His pass-rush repertoire must develop for him to become more of an effective pass rusher that can stay on the field for all three downs and obvious passing downs at the next level.

With that said, drawing comparisons to Damon "Snacks" Harrison is far from a bad thing. 

If Brown is the pick for the Lions in the first round, the chances he will be a bust stand at 35 percent.

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