Experts Predict Packers’ Final Record

From eight wins to 13, here is what the experts are forecasting for the Green Bay Packers in the 2024 NFL season.

Bill Huber | May 17, 2024

The Packers will kick off the 2024 NFL season in Brazil on Sept. 6. / Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

GREEN BAY, Wis. – Last year, the Green Bay Packers were among six teams that qualified for the playoffs after falling short in 2022. That marked the 34th consecutive season in which there were at least four new playoff teams.

In 2024, will the Packers rise to championship status or be one of the clubs that gets shoved aside for one of those new playoff teams?

Following the release of the 2024 NFL schedule, here’s what the experts had to say in their record predictions. They are listed from worst to best. Longer explanations are available at the links.

Sports Illustrated

Gilberto Manzano has the Packers regressing from 9-8 in 2023 to 8-9 in 2024. Not only did they get crushed by the Detroit Lions in the NFC North race, they were lapped by the Chicago Bears. There are challenging early-season games against the Eagles in Brazil and at the Rams, and home games against the Texans and 49ers will be daunting.

“For Green Bay to return to the postseason, it’s going to need the offensive line to step up and for running back Josh Jacobs to quickly find a rhythm with his new team,” he wrote. “The Packers could be a surprise team to miss the postseason if the NFC North turns out to be one of the better divisions.”

NFL.com

NFL Network analytics expert Cynthia Frelund has the Packers checking in with 9.8 wins, which will be good enough for a playoff berth.

“According to my models, drafting versatile blocker Jordan Morgan added more wins than any other selection could have when Green Bay came on the clock for the first time at Pick No. 25,” she wrote. “The talented offensive lineman will further bolster an aerial attack that already saw Jordan Love throw 32 touchdown passes in his first season as a starter and help improve ground opportunities for a group that ranked third-worst in rushing yards over expected against stacked boxes last season (-49).”

33rd Team

Marcus Mosher has the Packers going 10-7 after falling just short against the 49ers in last year’s divisional playoffs.

“The Packers are one of the league's youngest teams, and Love should only be better in his second full season as the starter. Expect this team to compete with the Lions for the NFC North division title,” he wrote.

In this prediction, the Lions went 11-6. Mosher had them as one of the big offseason winners after keeping Ben Johnson as offensive coordinator.

Bleacher Report

Noting the rise of Love despite Christian Watson’s injuries and the new-look backfield, Maurice Moton also has the Packers finishing 10-7.

“After a strong showing in 2023, Love will likely continue to develop into a high-end starter,” he wrote. “If the Packers defense, which is loaded with recent first-round picks, plays up its full potential under new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley, this team should win 10 or more games.”

Fox Sports

So long as Love continues his rise and Hafley can find some answers on defense, the Packers and Lions will finish atop the division with 11-6 records, according to NFC North writer Carmen Vitali.

“This division race is too close to call this far out, but considering the amount of success Green Bay had last season with a first-year starting quarterback and the youngest team in the league, I have to think the Packers are just getting started,” Vitali wrote.

Pro Football Network

Dakota Randall broke up the schedule into segments. He has the Packers starting 4-0 en route to a 12-5 finish, which was a game behind the Lions in the NFC North and good for the fifth seed.

The Athletic

As part of a lengthy schedule analysis, Packers beat writer Matt Schneidman is predicting a 12-5 record and first-place finish in the NFC North.

“Maybe a three-win jump is too steep, but I’m putting a lot of stock in Green Bay’s offense entering Year 2 with Love at the helm,” Schneidman wrote. “The Packers return all of his primary wide receivers and tight ends from a prolific second half of the 2023 season and still have a proven feature running back in Jacobs despite losing Jones.”

Packer Central

More Green Bay Packers News

All 17 games are important but 3 on the #Packers’ 2024 schedule seem like they will define the season for Green Bay.

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— Joey Van Zummeren (@JoeyVZ_) May 16, 2024

Published May 17, 2024|Modified May 17, 2024

BILL HUBER

Bill Huber, who has covered the Green Bay Packers since 2008, is the publisher of Packers On SI, a Sports Illustrated channel. E-mail: packwriter2002@yahoo.com History: Huber took over Packer Central in August 2019. Twitter: https://twitter.com/BillHuberNFL Background: Huber graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater, where he played on the football team, in 1995. He worked in newspapers in Reedsburg, Wisconsin Dells and Shawano before working at The Green Bay News-Chronicle and Green Bay Press-Gazette from 1998 through 2008. With The News-Chronicle, he won several awards for his commentaries and page design. In 2008, he took over as editor of Packer Report Magazine, which was founded by Hall of Fame linebacker Ray Nitschke, and PackerReport.com. In 2019, he took over the new Sports Illustrated site Packer Central, which he has grown into one of the largest sites in the Sports Illustrated Media Group.