100 Days of Mocks: Packers Trade Rodgers in Three-Round Mock
GREEN BAY, Wis. – The on-the-field phase of the scouting season is complete following Saturday’s Senior Bowl. Now, for the Green Bay Packers and the rest of the NFL, the focus turns to the Scouting Combine and deeper dives into the prospects.
Pro Football Network’s Ian Cummings published a three-round mock draft on Sunday morning. In it, the Packers traded Aaron Rodgers to the Jets and used the 13th overall selection on TCU’s Quentin Johnston, arguably the top receiver in the draft class.
Listed at 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds, Johnston is a physical freak. In 2022, he caught 60 passes for 1,069 yards (17.8 average) and six touchdowns. He topped 130 yards in four games, including a roasting of Michigan in the College Football Playoffs with six receptions for 163 yards and one touchdown.
“Long, fast, explosive athlete who has really good hands,” one AFC exec told SI.com’s Albert Breer. “He’s physical to attack the ball and really tough after the catch.”
His 3.05 yards per pass route ranked among the top 10 nationally, according to Pro Football Focus. With an 18.8-yard average for his career, that 17.8 mark this past season was actually the worst of his three seasons.
Johnston’s personality would make him a good fit in Green Bay. During the recruiting process, he flipped from Texas to TCU because it’s a smaller school.
“I’ve seen people get too caught up in the hype and start to go downhill, so I try to keep a level head and not focus too much on the noise around me,” he told Dave Campbell’s Texas Football. “I try not to get too caught up with it.”
He added: “I care more about the scoreboard than the box score. Winning is my only goal.”
With their own pick at No. 15 overall, the Packers addressed a major need with Texas Tech edge rusher Tyree Wilson.
“The Packers capitalized on one high-upside prospect falling down the board with Johnston, and they do it again here with Texas Tech edge rusher Tyree Wilson,” Cummings wrote. “Wilson is almost one of one in terms of his power capacity. At 6’6″, 275 pounds, with near-36″ arms, he can be a bulldozer in close quarters, but Wilson also has the athleticism to serve as a stand-up rusher.”
In 10 games, Wilson tallied seven sacks and 14 tackles for losses among 61 total stops. On a per-game basis, he ranked 12th in FBS in sacks and TFLs. He was one of only two Power-5 players with at least six sacks, 10 tackles for losses and 60 tackles.
Of 137 edge defenders in this draft class with at least 200 pass-rushing snaps, Wilson ranked fourth overall in PFF’s pass-rushing win rate and first among players from Power-5 conferences.
The Packers addressed two other major needs with their Day 2 picks, nabbing a safety in the second round and a tight end in the third. With Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Johnston and the tight end, Jordan Love could have one heck of a group of passing-game weapons.
Check out the full mock for those picks.
Packers’ 2023 Offseason Depth Charts Without Free Agents
Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Danny Etling (PS).
Let’s address the obvious elephant in this room. If Aaron Rodgers is traded, the Packers will have to add another quarterback. Presumably, it would be a veteran arm who’s seen it all and can lend his wisdom to Jordan Love. Then again, with Rodgers set to take over in 2008, the Packers drafted Brian Brohm and Matt Flynn.
Running back
Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon, Patrick Taylor, Tyler Goodson (PS).
At this time a year ago, it seemed a fairly decent bet that the Packers would cut Aaron Jones loose in a cap-saving move this offseason. After all, Green Bay’s about $20 million over the cap and parting ways with Jones would handle about half that amount. But general manager Brian Gutekunst signaled they’ll restructure Jones’ contract after the star running back set career highs for rushing yards and receptions (but also fumbles).
Receiver
Allen Lazard, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Randall Cobb, Samori Toure, Bo Melton, Jeff Cotton (PS).
With Allen Lazard’s team-leading 60 receptions for 788 yards, the veterans Lazard and Randall Cobb combined for 94 receptions, 1,205 yards and seven touchdowns. The baton needs to be passed to Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs, but there’s something to be said about having a steady veteran or two in the room. That’s true regardless of whether Aaron Rodgers or Jordan Love are running the show. If the Packers let Lazard walk due to finances and Cobb depart due to age, four of the remaining five receivers were rookies in 2022 and the other (Jeff Cotton) has played one NFL snap.
Tight End
Robert Tonyan, Marcedes Lewis, Josiah Deguara, Tyler Davis, Austin Allen (PS) Nick Guggemos (PS).
Robert Tonyan (591 snaps, three starts) and Marcedes Lewis (451 snaps, 17 starts) combined for about 1,050 snaps and 20 starts. Coming off his torn ACL, Tonyan didn’t bring much of an explosive element but he did lead all NFL tight ends in catch percentage and drop percentage. Lewis, the oldest non-quarterback starter in the league, blocked at his usual high level. The Packers don’t have a replacement for either player.
Offensive Line
Offensive Line – Tackles
LT David Bakhtiari, RT Yosh Nijman (restricted free agent), Zach Tom, Rasheed Walker, Caleb Jones, Luke Tenuta, Jean Delance (PS).
Presumably, the Packers won’t dump David Bakhtiari in a cost-cutting move – a post-June 1 release would create $17.3 million in cap savings – and will retain Yosh Nijman in restricted free agency. Assuming that’s the case, the Packers are in really good shape, especially if Bakhtiari truly is back from that horrendous knee injury. He played well on limited practice time, and now will have a full offseason to really get his game where he wants it.
Offensive Line - Interior
LG Elgton Jenkins, C Josh Myers, RG Jon Runyan, Zach Tom, Royce Newman, Jake Hanson (IR), Sean Rhyan (suspended).
With the late-season extension of Elgton Jenkins keeping one of the top linemen in the league from reaching the open market, none of Green Bay’s blockers are slated to hit free agency. It will be interesting to see where the do-it-all Tom ultimately battles for a spot in the starting lineup. Just as interesting is whether Sean Rhyan can save a career that was nothing short of a disaster as a rookie third-round pick.
Defensive Line
Kenny Clark, Jarran Reed, Dean Lowry (IR), TJ Slaton, Devonte Wyatt, Jonathan Ford, Chris Slayton (PS).
Jarran Reed, a tremendous budget-signing last offseason, and Dean Lowry, who had played 101 consecutive games until finishing the season on injured reserve, are scheduled to hit free agency. Combined, they played almost 1,200 snaps and were in on 95 tackles in 2022. The depth is perilous if they go. Behind what would be the new starting trio of Kenny Clark, first-round pick Devonte Wyatt and TJ Slaton, nobody else on the depth chart played a single snap.
Outside Linebackers
Rashan Gary (IR), Preston Smith, Kingsley Enagbare, Justin Hollins, Jonathan Garvin, La’Darius Hamilton (PS).
With Rashan Gary coming off a torn ACL and being iffy to play in Week 1 – let alone being an impact player for Week 1 – there’s obviously a huge need entering the offseason. The lone free agent is Justin Hollins, who was claimed off waivers from the Rams in November and provided a bit of juice to the pass rush. Jonathan Garvin, a seventh-round pick in 2020, went from 395 snaps in 2021 to just 193 in 2022. Not only didn’t he have a sack, he didn’t even have a solo tackle.
Inside Linebackers
De’Vondre Campbell, Quay Walker, Isaiah McDuffie, Krys Barnes, Eric Wilson.
This, obviously, is a really good group. The lone free agent is Eric Wilson. A 15-game starter when he had 122 tackles for the Vikings in 2020, Wilson was claimed off waivers on Oct. 4 and was one of the stalwarts on special teams with 13 tackles in 13 games – tied with Isaiah McDuffie and Dallin Leavitt for tops on the team.
Cornerbacks
Jaire Alexander, Rasul Douglas, Eric Stokes (IR), Keisean Nixon, Corey Ballentine, Shemar Jean-Charles, Kiondre Thomas (PS), Benjie Franklin (F), Tyrell Ford (F).
Keisean Nixon was signed to a one-year, minimum contract last offseason. Now, you could argue he’s the most important of Green Bay’s 14 unrestricted free agents. Nixon changed the season with his series of high-impact kickoff returns. With speed and swagger, he became the team’s first-ever first-team All-Pro kick returner. Plus, he provided quality depth in the slot. Corey Ballentine was a useful member of the special teams, as well. He's got kickoff-return experience and could be Plan B if the Packers can't afford Nixon.
Safeties
Adrian Amos, Darnell Savage, Rudy Ford, Dallin Leavitt, Tariq Carpenter, Innis Gaines, James Wiggins (F).
In 2019, the Packers and Bears essentially swapped safeties in free agency, with Adrian Amos joining the Packers and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix jumping to the Bears. Amos was worth every penny of his four-year, $36 million contract. He started all 66 games in four seasons. Last year wasn’t his best, though, with one interception and five passes defensed. He will turn 30 on April 29.
Amos led the defense with 977 snaps, Rudy Ford played 442 snaps on defense and was excellent as a gunner on the punt team, and Dallin Leavitt was tied for the team lead in special-teams tackles. Without those three, all that’s left are Darnell Savage, who was benched, and Tariq Carpenter and Innis Gaines, who combined to play 60 snaps on defense.
Specialists
K Mason Crosby, K Parker White (F). P Pat O’Donnell. LS Jack Coco.
A seventh-round pick in 2007, Mason Crosby has handled kicking duties for a league-high 258 consecutive games and established a franchise scoring record that might be impossibly out of reach. He made 86.2 percent of his field-goal attempts but had the shortest kickoffs in the league. The only other kicker on the roster is Parker White, who signed a futures contract three weeks ago. He made 16-of-17 attempts at South Carolina as a senior in 2021.
“We’re working through all that stuff,” Gutekunst said last month when asked about Crosby. “Mason had an outstanding year this year, was really clutch in a lot of ways. He’s performing at a high level for a long time. Obviously, having Rich (Bisaccia) come in and adapting to a new special teams coach for I don’t know how many years in a row now, but he carried us in a few of those games, there’s no doubt about it.”
100 Days of Mocks
Starting Jan. 17, when there were 100 days until the start of the NFL Draft, we started our mock-worthy goal of 100 mock drafts in 100 days. Here’s the 100-day-countdown series.
82 days: Seven mocks, including NFL.com
83 days: Two pass-catchers in first-round mocks
84 days: Aaron Rodgers traded for extra first-round pick
85 days: PFF picks a pass rusher
86 days: Tight end in NFL Draft Bible Mock
87 days: Packers trade back, get extra second-rounder
88 days: Sorry, vacation day.
89 days: A “Eureka!” moment in two-round mock
90 days: Playmaking cornerback at PFF
91 days: Three defensive backs in seven-round mock
92 days: Kiper takes a tight end
93 days: Safety first for Bucky Brooks in NFL.com mock
94 days: College Football News mocks Mayer
95 days: Two firsts if Rodgers is traded
96 days: NFL.com’s Daniel Jeremiah goes back to Georgia
97 days: This pick would break a long drought