Packers’ Strength of Schedule Ranks in Middle of Pack

Here is how the Green Bay Packers' schedule stacks up based on 2022 projected win totals.

Bill Huber | Apr 6, 2022

GREEN BAY, Wis. – Tired: Computing strength of scheduled based on the past season’s records. Wired: Computing strength of schedule based on projected win totals.

That was the approach taken here. Based on the over/under win totals at DraftKings, the Green Bay Packers’ 17 opponents for the 2022 NFL season have a projected .498 winning percentage. That is tied for the 18th-most difficult schedule.

Based on the NFL’s annual schedule rotation, Green Bay will face the four teams from the NFC East and the four teams from the AFC East. Of those eight matchups, only the Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills are projected to have winning records. That offsets playing a first-place schedule and a Game 17 against the Tennessee Titans.

Sticking in the NFC North, the Minnesota Vikings’ opponents are projected to have a .496 winning percentage. They’re followed by the Chicago Bears at .487 and Detroit Lions at .486.

The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to face the most difficult schedule, their 17 opponents boasting a .540 winning percentage. That’s the byproduct of playing in the mighty AFC West as well as facing a first-place schedule.

The New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles are projected the face the easiest schedule, their 17 opponents having meager .476 winning percentages.

At SI Sportsbook, the Packers are -200 to win the NFC North; the Vikings are next at +275. Green Bay is +1000 to win the Super Bowl. Only Tampa Bay (+650), Buffalo (+650) and Kansas City (+900) have shorter odds. The Rams also are +1000.

At FanDuel, the Packers are -180 to win the North; the Vikings are +280, the Bears are +850 and the Lions are +1200. To win the Super Bowl, the Bills are +650, the Buccaneers are +700, the Chiefs are +950 and the Packers and Rams are +1100.

Green Bay Packers 2022 Strength of Schedule

Here is a look at next season’s opponents, with projected win totals at FanDuel in parentheses. The dates and times for the games will be announced in the spring; the 2021 schedule was announced on May 12. Teams with an asterisk qualified for the playoffs.

Note: Green Bay will play one of its home games in London.

Home: NFC North

Chicago Bears (7), Detroit Lions (6.5), Minnesota Vikings (8.5).

Home: NFC East

Dallas Cowboys* (10.5), New York Giants (7.5).

Home: AFC East

New England Patriots* (8.5), New York Jets (5.5).

Home: NFC West (Champion)

Los Angeles Rams* (10.5).

Home: AFC South (Champion for Game 17)

Tennessee Titans* (9.5).

Away: NFC North

Chicago Bears (7), Detroit Lions (6.5), Minnesota Vikings (8.5).

Away: NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles* (8.5), Washington Football Team (8.5).

Away: AFC East

Buffalo Bills* (11.5), Miami Dolphins (8.5).

Away: NFC South (Champion)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers* (11.5).

Published Apr 6, 2022

BILL HUBER

Bill Huber, who has covered the Green Bay Packers since 2008, is the publisher of Packers On SI, a Sports Illustrated channel. E-mail: packwriter2002@yahoo.com History: Huber took over Packer Central in August 2019. Twitter: https://twitter.com/BillHuberNFL Background: Huber graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater, where he played on the football team, in 1995. He worked in newspapers in Reedsburg, Wisconsin Dells and Shawano before working at The Green Bay News-Chronicle and Green Bay Press-Gazette from 1998 through 2008. With The News-Chronicle, he won several awards for his commentaries and page design. In 2008, he took over as editor of Packer Report Magazine, which was founded by Hall of Fame linebacker Ray Nitschke, and PackerReport.com. In 2019, he took over the new Sports Illustrated site Packer Central, which he has grown into one of the largest sites in the Sports Illustrated Media Group.