Vikings Land Two Intriguing Defensive Players in New ESPN 2022 Mock Draft
With the Senior Bowl having come and gone, the Super Bowl this weekend, and the scouting combine kicking off in less than a month, NFL draft season is in full swing.
And what does that mean? Mock drafts. All kinds of mock drafts. I'll have a story coming this week that looks at a variety of players mocked to the Vikings at No. 12, but for now, I wanted to discuss a specific mock. This is a new two-rounder from ESPN's Jordan Reid.
Here's who he has the Vikings taking with the 12th and 46th overall picks, along with his explanation and my analysis.
No. 12: David Ojabo, EDGE, Michigan
Under the previous front-office regime, the Vikings relied heavily on their ability to develop Day 2 and Day 3 players at defensive end, which left the team's depth razor-thin at the position outside of Danielle Hunter. If new general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah uses the same model as the Browns, where he was the past few years, Minnesota could value the age of prospects (22 and younger) and their college production, physical traits and potential upside. Ojabo's combination of potential and youth make him a clear target for the Vikings at a position of need. They haven't selected an edge rusher in the first two rounds since Erasmus James in 2005. Biggest needs: CB, EDGE, IOL
Analysis: As Reid mentions, the Vikings never drafted edge rushers before the third round under Rick Spielman. It's just not something they ever seemed to consider. And when you're landing players like Brian Robison, Everson Griffen, and Danielle Hunter in the third and fourth rounds, that strategy works. But when those picks start turning into Scott Crichton, Jalyn Holmes, and D.J. Wonnum, it doesn't work and your depth becomes non-existent. The Vikings haven't drafted and developed a quality DE since Hunter in 2015. I know Wonnum had eight sacks last season, but turn on the film and look at the advanced metrics and it's easy to tell that he isn't a starting-caliber player at this point in his career.
There's solid evidence that suggests the arrival of Kwesi Adofo-Mensah will mean the Vikings become much more open to using premium draft capital on edge rushers. While working for the 49ers and Browns, Adofo-Mensah saw the impact top picks Nick Bosa and Myles Garrett had on those defenses. He was in SF when they spent first-round picks on defensive linemen four times in five years from 2015-19, taking Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner, Solomon Thomas, and Bosa. The Vikings don't pick high enough to land Aidan Hutchinson or Kayvon Thibodeaux — who are seen as the potential Bosa, Garrett-type players in this class — but that doesn't mean there won't be intriguing options available at No. 12.
The second tier at the position seems to be comprised of Purdue's George Karlaftis and Michigan's David Ojabo. Karlaftis is the more polished player right now (and may well gone by 12), but Ojabo seems to have the higher ceiling. He's only been playing football since his junior year of high school, and came out of nowhere in 2021 with 11 sacks and five forced fumbles. Ojabo's size, athleticism, and instincts give him a ridiculous amount of upside. He's a former track athlete in high school with crazy burst and a nose for the football. If he continues to develop and gain experience, he could wind up being as good as any edge rusher in the class. The fit works well in Minnesota with the Vikings likely to switch to a 3-4 defense this year.
Also available: Cincinnati cornerback Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner is still on the board here and would be awfully tempting, but less so if you think you can still land a strong CB prospect in the second round. EDGE Jermaine Johnson, an Eden Prairie native, is making a push towards the top 15. QBs Matt Corral and Sam Howell would be risky picks, but it might be worth a shot.
No. 46: Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
Elam has received mixed reviews from NFL evaluators I've spoken to; some see him going as high as the late first round, while others seem him in Round 2. At 6-foot-2, 195 pounds, Elam is a big press-man corner. With Minnesota in search of cornerback help and Elam turning 21 years old a week after the draft, he checks a lot of the boxes for the Vikings' scouting department. He had six picks in three seasons for the Gators. Biggest needs: CB, EDGE, IOL
Analysis: Simply put, the Vikings need cornerback help. Because recent first-round picks Mike Hughes and Jeff Gladney flamed out for different reasons, the team's only long-term piece at the position is Cameron Dantzler, who has been somewhat inconsistent through his first two seasons. Even if the Vikings bring back Patrick Peterson or dip into the free agent market at corner, they need to address the long-term future of their secondary.
If Elam lasts this long, he'd have the potential to be a steal. The long, physical Florida corner has gotten some first-round buzz, but what range of the draft he ends up being picked in is still up in the air. There are some concerns about Elam's consistency as a tackler and his ability to stick with quick, twitchy receivers in man coverage. He's physical and talented in press man, but his ball skills and football IQ might make him best suited to play more zone coverage.
Also available: QBs Carson Strong and Desmond Ridder are available here, as are Penn State EDGE Arnold Ebiketie and Alabama LB Christian Harris.
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