Astros-Phillies MLB World Series Game 3 Odds, Lines and Bet

The Astros are favored at SI Sportsbook against the Phillies as the World Series heads to Philadelphia for Game 3.

The 2022 World Series heads to Philadelphia for Tuesday night’s contest. The series is even at 1-all after the Astros rode a strong start from Framber Valdez and held Bryce Harper hitless on their way to a 5-1 victory Saturday night.

Editor’s Note: Game 3 had originally been scheduled for Monday but was postponed to Tuesday.

By winning the first game in Houston, the Phillies now have home-field advantage for the series. That advantage looms large as Philadelphia has yet to lose a postseason game at home (5-0). Not only that but the Phillies are 21-9 all-time at home in the postseason. The fans at Citizens Bank Park will be coming out in full force, hoping for no tricks and all treats for the post-Halloween showdown.

Bet on Game 3 of the World Series at SI Sportsbook

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Astros-Phillies Game 3 World Series Odds

• Moneyline: Astros (-125) | Phillies (+105)
• Run line: Astros -1.5 (+130)| Phillies +1.5 (-154)
• Total: 8 - Over (+100) | Under (-118)
• Editor’s Note: Game 3 was postponed from Monday to Tuesday

With Monday’s rainout moving the game to Tuesday, Philadelphia is now starting lefty Ranger Suarez and will be able to use the bullpen freely as Game 1 starter Aaron Nola can now start Game 4. Noah Syndergaard, who had originally been scheduled to start Monday, is now likely pushed to Game 5.

Suarez has been effective all year, and in the postseason he has pitched 9 2/3 innings across four games, allowing only two earned runs. Suarez was used briefly in relief Friday and he retired both dangerous Astros lefties Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. The Phillies will be in great shape if they can get five innings out of Suarez, but they will likely go to the bullpen sooner. In 21 at bats vs. Suarez, the Astros have hit .429 with nine hits and three home runs. In his Oct. 4 start against Houston, he lasted only three innings while surrendering six runs. 

Lance McCullers starts for Houston. McCullers has been strong in the postseason, posting a 2.45 ERA. However, he was a little shaky in the ALCS, allowing four runs (three earned) on eight hits in five innings versus the Yankees. If McCullers has his control, he can shut down a lineup. If he doesn’t, it can add up to runs quickly. Fortunately for the Astros, Dusty Baker could have a quick hook for McCullers if he gets into trouble as the bullpen should be well-rested since the Astros only used Rafael Montero and Ryan Pressly in relief Saturday. In his final start versus the Phillies in October, McCullers allowed six hits but only one earned run.

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Phillies hitters remain dangerous at all times but especially at home. Look for Harper and J.T. Realmuto to continue hitting well at Citizens Bank Park.

The Astros have looked good offensively, and if Jose Altuve is finally out of his slump (he went 3-4 Saturday), this Houston lineup will be truly dangerous. The Astros put up five runs on both Nola and Zack Wheeler in the first two games.

So, how should we bet on this one?

There were 81 regular-season games played at Citizens Bank Park and those games averaged 9.04 runs and 16.7 hits per game. In five 2022 postseason games, the average game total has been 10 with 15.8 hits and three home runs.

McCullers can be shaky with his control and that can add up quickly versus this Phillies lineup. Philadelphia’s bullpen will likely also get hit by an Astros team that has outscored the Phillies, 10-8, through the first two games of the World Series.

If you like the Phillies, this is a good spot to take them at home for the value. I’ve got the Astros winning this, but not by much, so I am avoiding the -133 on the moneyline. However, the over is plus-money and I’m going to take it.

BET: Over 8 (+100)

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