Alabama vs. Ole Miss picks, predictions: Week 4 college football odds, spread, lines
Things look a little different these days in the SEC West, with a potential changing of the guard already in the works this season after some sloppy early play from Alabama, ranked outside the top 10 for the first time in 128 weeks, at home against undefeated Ole Miss in college football's Week 4 action on Saturday.
Ranked at No. 13, the Crimson Tide come in at 2-1 and off a concerning victory over USF that raised more questions than it answered, especially at quarterback, where Jalen Milroe is set to start again this week, and arguably more so on the offensive line after a performance that left plenty to be desired in pass protection.
Lane Kiffin has the No. 15 Rebels at a perfect 3-0 on the year despite the relative weakness of the team's ground game, led not by star tailback Quinshon Judkins but quarterback Jaxson Dart and his 213 rushing yards, and dealing with an injury to lead wide receiver Tre Harris, scoring 100 second-half points in three games so far.
What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.
Ole Miss vs. Alabama picks, predictions
Alabama vs. Ole Miss picks, predictions
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Alabama odds: The computers are siding with the Crimson Tide to hold serve at home, as the index forecasts Alabama will win outright with 66.0 percent likelihood, according to the model that simulates games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Ole Miss odds: That leaves the Rebels as the projected winner in 34.0 percent of the simulations, according to the index computers.
Point spread: The oddsmakers see a close game, with Alabama coming in as 6.5 point favorites against Ole Miss, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.
Total: 55.5 points (Over -105, Under -120)
Moneyline: Ole Miss +200, Alabama -275
Alabama predictions: Down 3 spots this week after the USF game, the Crimson Tide slid to No. 4 on the index's 133 football rankings, projected to be 23.2 points better than an average opponent, and forecasted to win 9.4 games this season.
Ole Miss predictions: The Rebels slid 1 spot on the computer polls with an expectation to be 19.4 points better than opponents on average and estimated to win 9.2 games this season.
Alabama vs. Ole Miss schedule
When: Sat., Sept. 23
Where: Tuscaloosa, Ala.
Time: 2:30 p.m. Central
TV: CBS network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)
College Football Power Index
Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.
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College football rankings
A closer look at the AP top 25
First-place votes in parentheses
- Georgia (57)
- Michigan (2)
- Texas (3)
- Florida State (1)
- USC
- Ohio State
- Penn State
- Washington
- Notre Dame
- Oregon
- Utah
- LSU
- Alabama
- Oregon State
- Ole Miss
- Oklahoma
- North Carolina
- Duke
- Colorado
- Miami
- Washington State
- UCLA
- Tennessee
- Iowa
- Florida
More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams