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Alabama vs. Texas score prediction by college football computer model

What to expect as Alabama and Texas meet in a major SEC vs. Big 12 clash (and a future SEC conference game) with updated score predictions

Two blue-blood programs square off in a highly-anticipated rematch of last year's thrilling 1-point game as Alabama welcomes Texas to Bryant-Denny Stadium with an eye on making it two straight against the Longhorns after last season's victory.

Bryce Young's late heroics helped put the Tide in position to kick the game-winner and leave Austin with a 20-19 win against a Texas team that played close all day, even after losing star quarterback Quinn Ewers early on because of a shoulder injury.

Now, Ewers is back in burnt orange with another shot at Alabama, which brings on a new quarterback after Young's departure, with all signs pointing to dual threat Jalen Milroe reprising the starting role he played in last week's opener, when he accounted for five all-purpose touchdowns in a big win over MTSU.

What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 2 game.

Alabama vs. Texas predictions

Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers celebrates a play during a college football game.

What to expect as Alabama and Texas square off

Alabama vs. Texas score prediction: The SP+ model projects that Alabama will defeat Texas by an estimated score of 34 to 21, a projected scoring margin of 12.8 points, with the Crimson Tide boasting a 77 percent chance to win the game outright.

Point spread: The bookmakers agree, listing Alabama as the 7.5 point favorites against Texas in the game, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook. Track it live

FPI prediction: Another strong projection in favor of the Crimson Tide, which has the expected 80.9 percent chance to win the game, compared with Texas at 19.1 percent, according to the College Football Power Index, another computer prediction model that picks winners by simulating games 20,000 times.

Related: Alabama vs. Texas picks, predictions, Week 2 college football odds, lines

What we're betting: Texas has plenty of receiving talent who can get some consistent yards against an Alabama back seven dealing with injury troubles, but the Tide has the bodies to own the line defensively on key downs. Over 54.5, Alabama -7.5

More: Tide vs. Longhorns picks, odds

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Alabama vs. Texas schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 9
Time: 6 p.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
Stream: fuboTV Try for free


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