Auburn vs. Texas A&M picks, predictions, Week 4 college football odds, spread, lines

Expert picks and predictions as Auburn and Texas A&M meet in this Week 4 college football game according to the computer predictive models
Auburn vs. Texas A&M picks, predictions, Week 4 college football odds, spread, lines
Auburn vs. Texas A&M picks, predictions, Week 4 college football odds, spread, lines /

A battle of SEC West rivals is set to kick off this weekend in a major test for both teams as Auburn takes it on the road against Texas A&M in college football's Week 4 action on Saturday.

Auburn is the undefeated team coming into the game, a perfect 3-0 on the year behind a balanced offensive attack good for 428 total yards per game, and boast a non-conference win against a Power Five team after beating Cal on the road, and could use an SEC win here going into a brutal stretch that includes dates against Georgia, Ole Miss, and LSU.

A&M's heralded defense allowed 48 points in a road loss against Miami two weeks ago, but the team responded with a 47-3 win over UL Monroe, leaning on an offense relying more on Conner Weigman's arm, posting 337 yards per game in the air compared to a ground attack averaging 130 yards each time out.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Auburn vs. Texas A&M picks, predictions

Auburn Tigers quarterback Payton Thorne throws a pass during a college football game in the SEC.
Auburn vs. Texas A&M picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Texas A&M odds: The computers are siding with the Aggies to win at home, with 67 percent of the simulations projecting an outright victory, based on the models that pick winners by reproducing games 20,000 times.

Auburn odds: Those projections leave the Tigers with a 33 percent chance to pull off the upset on the road, according to the remaining computer simulations.

Point spread: Texas A&M comes into the game as 8.5 point favorites against Auburn, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: 51.5 points

Moneyline: AUB +240 | A&M -333

Texas A&M predictions: The computers bumped the Aggies up 1 spot on their 133 team rankings this week, projecting the team is 14.4 points better than an average opponent, forecasted to win 7.3 games this season.

Auburn predictions: Hugh Freeze's team slid 1 spot on the index polls despite the win, estimated to be 10.8 points better than opponents on average, and expected to win 7.3 games on the year with a 90.6 percent chance to play in a bowl game.

Auburn vs. Texas A&M schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 23
Where: College Station, Tex.
Time: 11 a.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

A closer look at the AP top 25

First-place votes in parentheses

  1. Georgia (57)
  2. Michigan (2)
  3. Texas (3)
  4. Florida State (1)
  5. USC
  6. Ohio State
  7. Penn State
  8. Washington
  9. Notre Dame
  10. Oregon
  11. Utah
  12. LSU
  13. Alabama
  14. Oregon State
  15. Ole Miss
  16. Oklahoma
  17. North Carolina
  18. Duke
  19. Colorado
  20. Miami
  21. Washington State
  22. UCLA
  23. Tennessee
  24. Iowa
  25. Florida

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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Published
James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.