Colorado vs. Stanford score prediction by college football computer model

Expert score prediction for Colorado vs. Stanford in this Week 7 college football game

Pac-12 football kicks off in Prime Time early this week as Colorado returns home from its first win in three weeks to square off against Stanford on Friday. Now at 4-2 after defeating Arizona State, their first conference win of the year, the Buffaloes look to make it two straight against a Cardinal team that is 0-3 in league games.

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What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 7 game.

Colorado vs. Stanford prediction

Colorado vs. Stanford game prediction / USA Today Images

Score prediction

The simulations are siding with Colorado to defeat Stanford at home by a projected score of 32 to 23, an estimated point margin of 8.9 points, and give the Buffaloes a 70 percent chance to win the game outright.

Point spread

Colorado is an 11.5 point favorite against Stanford, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 58.5 points for the game.

If you're using this projection to bet on the game, you should take Stanford +11.5, bet on Colorado to win the moneyline at -500, and take the under.

Computer prediction

Other analytic models also favor Colorado in the game, including the College Football Power Index, a computer predictive tool that simulates games 20,000 times to pick straight-up winners.

The index favors Colorado to win in 80.1 percent of its simulations, or 16,020 of the 20,000 projections it uses. Stanford wins in the remaining 19.9 percent of picks, or the other 3,980 sims.

Where the bets are

69 percent of bettors forecast that Colorado will win and cover the 11.5 point spread.

31 percent of wagers predict Stanford will either upset or keep the game within the line.

61 percent of bets say the game will go over the total of 58.5 points, while the other 39 percent of wagers predict it will go under.

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