Georgia vs. TCU game score prediction by college football computer model

What can we expect when Georgia and TCU meet for the College Football Playoff national championship? Here is the latest prediction for the game.
Georgia vs. TCU game score prediction by college football computer model
Georgia vs. TCU game score prediction by college football computer model /

Everything is on the line as Georgia and TCU meet up in the College Football Playoff national championship game today.

As expected, the defending national champion Bulldogs come in as the favorites according to most analysts, and the bookmakers.

And according to the ESPN SP+ prediction model, which projects the national championship will be decided by double digits in Georgia's favor.

College Football Playoff: Georgia vs. TCU game prediction

SP+ predicts that Georgia will defeat TCU by an estimated score of 34.9 to 24.0, enough to secure an easy win for the Bulldogs, but notably the 11-point projected victory would not enough to cover the spread.

Georgia comes into the national championship game as 13 point favorites, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

That's enough to be the widest point spread in College Football Playoff national championship game history, and the biggest line not only in a national title game since Florida State opened as 12 point favorites over Auburn in 2013, but in the 21st century overall.

Georgia didn't cover the smallest spread of its season, when it was a 6.5 point favorite against Ohio State in the College Football Playoff Peach Bowl game, winning by one point in a dramatic semifinal.

TCU and Georgia both come in with efficient, productive offenses: the Horned Frogs post 41.1 points per game and the Bulldogs average 39.4 points each time out, and both are aided by rushing attacks that eclipse 200 yards.

More from College Football HQ at Georgia vs. TCU

How to watch: Schedule for Georgia vs. TCU national championship game

The Game: College Football Playoff: Georgia vs. TCU prediction, preview

Pick 'em: Georgia vs. TCU picks, predictions: CFP national title odds, lines

How TCU can do it: 3 ways TCU can beat Georgia

How Georgia can do it: 3 ways Georgia can beat TCU

Winners: College football teams with most national championships in AP top 25 era

(SP+)


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James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.