LSU vs. Arkansas picks, predictions: Week 4 college football odds, spread, lines

Expert picks and predictions for LSU vs. Arkansas in this Week 4 college football game according to the computer predictive models

A battle of 2-1 teams in the SEC West is set for this weekend in Death Valley as No. 12 LSU welcomes Arkansas in college football's Week 4 action on Saturday.

LSU has rebounded from its opening loss to Florida State with two impressive victories, 72-10 over Grambling State at home, and a 41-14 statement on the road against Mississippi State behind a historically-efficient offensive performance.

Arkansas is seven points away from being undefeated, coming off a close loss at home to BYU and still holding out hope that star tailback Raheim Sanders will be able to come back soon, in the meantime posting 370 total yards per game behind quarterback KJ Jefferson, a 71 percent passer with 7 all-purpose touchdowns.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

LSU vs. Arkansas picks, predictions

LSU vs. Arkansas picks, predictions / USA Today Images

LSU odds: The computers are siding with the home team, as the Tigers have the 88.5 percent chance to win outright, according to the models that simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Arkansas odds: That leaves the Razorbacks coming out the projected winner in the remaining 11.5 percent of the computer's simulations.

Point spread: LSU comes into the game as 17.5 point favorites against Arkansas, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: 54.5 points

Moneyline: LSU -1205 | Ark +600

LSU predictions: The SEC West champs moved up 4 spots this week on the index's 133 team football rankings, projected to be 21.0 points better than opponents on average, and estimated to win 8.9 games this season.

Arkansas predictions: The Hogs slid 6 spots in the 133 poll after the loss to BYU, sitting 2nd from the bottom in the SEC owing to their being a projected 5.4 points better than opponents, and forecasted to win 5.3 games in 2023.

LSU vs. Arkansas schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 23
Where: Baton Rouge, La.
Time: 6 p.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

A closer look at the AP top 25

First-place votes in parentheses

1. Georgia (57)
2. Michigan (2)
3. Texas (3)
4. Florida State (1)
5. USC
6. Ohio State
7. Penn State
8. Washington
9. Notre Dame
10. Oregon
11. Utah
12. LSU
13. Alabama
14. Oregon State
15. Ole Miss
16. Oklahoma
17. North Carolina
18. Duke
19. Colorado
20. Miami
21. Washington State
22. UCLA
23. Tennessee
24. Iowa
25. Florida

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