LSU vs. Auburn score prediction by college football expert model
SEC West champion, No. 22 ranked LSU hopes to take another important step forward back to potential division title contention this weekend in a matchup against Auburn as college football's Week 7 action kicks off on Saturday.
What can we expect in the game? Let's see how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 7 rivalry.
LSU vs. Auburn score prediction
The simulations are favoring the home team in this matchup, as LSU is projected to defeat Auburn by an estimated score of 35 to 26, a forecasted point margin of 8.1 points for the Tigers, who have a 68 percent chance to win the game outright.
Point spread
LSU is an 11.5 point favorite against Auburn, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 60.5 points for the game.
If you're using this projection to bet on the game, then you should take Auburn +11.5 (-120), bet on LSU on the moneyline at -450, and take the over.
Computer prediction
Other analytic models favor LSU in the game.
That includes College Football Power Index, a computer predictive tool that uses data points to simulate games 20,000 times and predict straight-up winners.
LSU wins out in 75.8 percent of simulations, or 15,160 of the 20,000 projections. Auburn wins the remaining 24.2 percent of sims, or 4,840 of the predictions.
Where the bets are
A slight majority of bettors, 56 percent, predict Auburn will either upset or, more likely, stay within the 11.5 points in a loss.
The other 44 percent of wagers expect LSU to win the game and cover the spread.
The over/under betting is almost even, as 51 percent of bets are picking the over, while the other 49 percent of wagers are taking the under.
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Auburn at LSU schedule
When: Sat., Oct. 14
Time: 6 p.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)
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