LSU vs. Auburn picks, predictions: Week 7 college football pick 'em

Expert prediction for LSU vs. Auburn by the college football analytic model that picks game winners

A pair of SEC West rivals meet at Death Valley this weekend as Auburn hits the road against defending division champion, No. 22 ranked LSU in college football's Week 7 action on Saturday.

LSU improved to 4-2 overall and 3-1 in SEC play after taking down Missouri on the road last weekend, thanks to Jayden Daniels' late-game heroics and a dramatic pick-six to secure the victory. 

Auburn was off last week, but played Georgia tough at home the weekend prior in a 7-point loss, falling to 3-2 overall and 0-2 in SEC games, and hoping it can secure what would be the first conference win for new head coach Hugh Freeze.

Rankings: AP | Coaches | ESPN

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

LSU vs. Auburn picks, predictions

LSU vs. Auburn game predictions / USA Today Images

LSU odds: The simulations strongly favor LSU to prevail at home, estimated to defeat Auburn with 75.9 percent likelihood, meaning it won out in 15,180 of the 20,000 projections the models use to pick straight-up game winners.

Auburn odds: The model, which uses data points to predict games, projects that Auburn has a 24.1 percent chance to pull off the upset, winning out in the remaining 4,820 simulations against LSU.

Game line: LSU is an 11.5 point favorite against Auburn, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 62.5 points for the game.

Auburn predictions: Up 3 spots this week on the index's 133 team rankings, the Tigers moved to No. 29 in the computer polls, estimated to be 9.0 points better than an average opponent, and are projected to win 6.6 games this season.

LSU predictions: No change in the computer rankings this week, as LSU remains at No. 14 overall, owing to its projected per game margin of 17.5 points against opponents, and forecasted to win 8.4 games on the year.

Related: ESPN top 25 college football rankings for Week 7

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

College football rankings

First-place votes in parentheses

1. Georgia (50)
2. Michigan (11)
3. Ohio State (1)
4. Florida State (1)
5. Oklahoma
6. Penn State
7. Washington
8. Oregon
9. Texas
10. USC
11. Alabama
12. North Carolina
13. Ole Miss
14. Louisville
15. Oregon State
16. Utah
17. Duke
18. UCLA
19. Washington State
20. Tennessee
21. Notre Dame
22. LSU
23. Kansas
24. Kentucky
25. Miami

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