Ole Miss vs. Auburn expert game picks, predictions

Expert prediction for Ole Miss vs. Auburn by the college football analytic model that picks game winners

SEC West football kicks off this weekend from The Plains as Auburn looks to get its first conference win for first-year coach Hugh Freeze as the Tigers host No. 13 Ole Miss in college football's Week 8 action on Saturday.

Rankings: AP | Coaches | ESPN

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Ole Miss vs. Auburn picks, predictions

Ole Miss vs. Auburn picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Ole Miss odds: The computers are siding with the Rebels, who have a projected 77.2 percent chance to win the game, winning out on 15,440 of the 20,000 simulations the index uses to pick game winners.

Auburn odds: That leaves the Tigers as the projected winner in the remaining 22.8 percent of simulations, winning out in the remaining 4,560 sims.

Point spread: Ole Miss is a 6.5 point spread against Auburn, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 56.5 points for the game.

Ole Miss predictions: Down 1 spot this week on the index's 133 team rankings to the No. 12 position, the Rebels are projected to be 18.1 points better than average opponents, and expected to win 9.5 games this season.

Auburn predictions: The Tigers fell 8 spots after the big loss to LSU, down to No. 37 nationally on the computer poll, which projects them to be 6.8 points better than opponents, and forecasted to win 6.1 games this season.

Score prediction? By taking the index's projections of how much each team is expected to win against "average opponents," and taking the difference between the two numbers, the computers predict that Ole Miss will defeat Auburn by 12 points.

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

Ole Miss at Auburn schedule

When: Sat., Oct. 21
Time: 6 p.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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