Oregon vs. Washington score prediction by college football expert model

What the analytic says about Oregon vs. Washington in this Week 7 college football game

Next year at this time, it will be a Big Ten rivalry game, but right now No. 8 Oregon will travel to No. 7 Washington in a game that figures to have a direct impact on the Pac-12 championship race if not also on the College Football Playoff rankings process.

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What can we expect in the game? Let's see how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 7 rivalry.

Oregon vs. Washington prediction

Oregon vs. Washington game prediction / USA Today Images

Score prediction

So far, the projections are siding with the home team, as Washington is favored to defeat Oregon by an expected score of 32 to 30, a forecasted point margin of 2.2 points in favor of the Huskies, who have a 55 percent chance to win the game outright.

Point spread

Washington is a 2.5 point favorite against Oregon in the game, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 67.5 points for the matchup.

If you're using this projection to bet on the game, you should take Oregon at +2.5, bet Washington on the moneyline at -150, and take the under.

Computer predictions

There is some difference of opinion over the game by the other analytic models.

That includes College Football Power Index, a computer predictive tool that uses data points to simulate games 20,000 times and predict a straight-up game winner.

This week, the index favors Oregon to upset, and win the game in 54.8 percent of its simulations, or 10,960 of its total number of projections.

Washington wins out in the remaining 45.2 percent of predictions, or the other 9,040 of the sims, according to the latest models.

Where the bets are

A majority of bettors, 53 percent of the total, are taking Oregon to either upset Washington or stay within the 2.5 points.

The other 47 percent of wagers expect Washington will win the game and cover the narrow 2.5 point spread.

68 percent of bets project the game total will go over 67.5 points, while the other 32 percent of bettors expect the total will go under.

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Oregon at Washington schedule

When: Sat., Oct. 14
Time: 12:30 p.m. Pacific
TV: ABC network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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