Tennessee vs. South Carolina picks, predictions: Week 5 college football odds, lines

Expert predictions for Tennessee vs. South Carolina by the computer analytics model that picks college football games

This weekend brings us a rematch of a landmark SEC East game from last season as unranked South Carolina will try to make it two straight upsets against No. 21 ranked Tennessee in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

A year ago, the Gamecocks unleashed their offense against the heavily-favored Volunteers, scoring over 60 points in a major upset on the way to taking down Clemson soon after. Can they do it again? Tennessee comes in already with one loss, a 13-point decision at Florida, averaging 464 yards per game on average.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Tennessee vs. South Carolina picks, predictions

Tennessee vs. South Carolina picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Tennessee odds: The computers are siding with the Volunteers, who have a 70.3 percent chance to win the game outright, winning in 14,060 of the 20,000 simulations the index runs to pick winners.

South Carolina odds: Conversely, the Gamecocks win in the remaining 29.7 percent of simulations, or 5,940 of the 20,000 simulations.

Point spread: Tennessee comes into the game as 11.5 point favorites against South Carolina, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 59.5 points.

Tennessee predictions: Up 6 spots on the index 133 team rankings, the Volunteers are projected to win 7.9 games this season and forecasted to be 13.8 points better than an average opponent, per the simulations.

South Carolina predictions: The Gamecocks are estimated to win 6.3 games this season and projected to be 8.1 points better than an average opponent.

South Carolina vs. Tennessee schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 30
Time: 7:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: SEC Network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not strictly in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. Texas
4. Ohio State
5. Florida State
6. Penn State
7. Washington
8. USC
9. Oregon
10. Utah
11. Notre Dame
12. Alabama
13. LSU
14. Oklahoma
15. North Carolina
16. Washington State
17. Duke
18. Miami
19. Oregon State
20. Ole Miss
21. Tennessee
22. Florida
23. Missouri
24. Kansas
25. Fresno State

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