Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks, predictions: Week 5 college football game odds, lines

Expert predictions for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas by the computer analytic model that picks college football games

SEC football returns to Jerry World this weekend as a West Division rivalry renews from Arlington with Texas A&M and Arkansas squaring off in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

A&M took down Auburn in the SEC opener last weekend but at a cost, as quarterback Conner Weigman exited that game with an ankle injury, likely paving the way for Max Johnson to resume quarterback duties for the Aggies after he helped lead the offense to an eventual 27-10 victory.

Arkansas is on a two-game losing streak after allowing 72 combined points to BYU and LSU in consecutive weeks and is still without lead tailback Raheim Sanders, whose absence has cut into the team's rushing production, averaging 147 yards per game.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks, predictions

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Texas A&M odds: The analytics department is siding heavily with the Aggies, who have the strong 73 percent chance to defeat Arkansas outright, according to the models that simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Arkansas odds: Conversely, the computers project that the Razorbacks will win the game in only 27 percent of the remaining simulations.

Point spread: Texas A&M comes into the game as 5.5 point favorites, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 53.5 points.

Texas A&M predictions: Up 2 spots on the index 133 team rankings this week after the Auburn win, the Aggies are projected to be 16.1 points better than an average opponent, and forecasted to win 7.9 games this season.

Arkansas predictions: Moving up 8 spots after a loss, but a solid showing, at LSU, the Hogs are estimated to win 5.7 games this season and be 7.6 points better than an average opponent, according to the models.

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not strictly in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 30
Time: 11 a.m. Central
TV: SEC Network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. Texas
4. Ohio State
5. Florida State
6. Penn State
7. Washington
8. USC
9. Oregon
10. Utah
11. Notre Dame
12. Alabama
13. LSU
14. Oklahoma
15. North Carolina
16. Washington State
17. Duke
18. Miami
19. Oregon State
20. Ole Miss
21. Tennessee
22. Florida
23. Missouri
24. Kansas
25. Fresno State

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