Utah vs. Oregon State score prediction by college football computer model

Expert score predictions for Utah vs. Oregon State in this Week 5 college football game

Friday night football returns to campus this week in the Pac-12 with a battle of top 25 ranked teams out west as undefeated, No. 10 Utah travels to one-loss, No. 19 ranked Oregon State in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

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What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 5 game.

Utah vs. Oregon State predictions

Utah vs. Oregon State picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Score prediction: This game could come down to the narrowest of margins, as the models forecast Oregon State will defeat Utah by a projected score of 26 to 25, squeaking by on a 1.5 point margin, and with a 53 percent probability to win outright.

Point spread: Oregon State comes into the game as 3 point favorites against Utah, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 44.5 points. If you're betting on this game and using this projection, you should take Utah +3 and bet on the under.

FPI prediction: College Football Power Index, another computer prediction model, forecasts that Oregon State has a 58.3 percent chance to defeat Utah outright, coming out ahead in 11,660 of the 20,000 simulations FPI uses to pick winners. Utah wins in the remaining 41.7 percent of sims, or 8,340 of the 20,000 projections.

Where the bets are: 60 percent of bettors are taking Utah at +3.5 while the other 40 percent of wagers project Oregon State will win and cover the spread. All bets currently predict the total will go over 44.5 points.

Betting trends: Utah is 4-8 ATS in the last 12 vs. OSU... Total went under in 4 of Utah's last 6 road games and 5 of the last 6 at OSU... Total went under in 4 of Utah's last 5 games... Beavers are 9-2 ATS in the last 11... OSU is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 vs. Pac-12... Total went over in 8 of Oregon State's last 12 as the favorite.

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Utah at Oregon State schedule

When: Fri., Sept. 29
Time: 7 p.m. MT, 6 p.m. PT
TV: FS1 network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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