Packers Make Big Move in NFL Playoff Odds After Beating Lions

The Packers are coming off a big win on Thanksgiving at the Lions, an outcome that had an impact in the latest NFL postseason odds.

GREEN BAY, Wis. – Not long ago, the question was whether the Green Bay Packers would wind up with a top-five pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Now, following Thursday’s victory at the Detroit Lions, it’s whether they’ll make a surprise run to a playoff spot.

Before kickoff at Detroit on Thursday, the Packers were +265 to make the playoffs at FanDuel Sportsbook. That’s an implied probability of 27.4 percent. On Sunday morning, that had improved to +118, or an implied probability of 45.9 percent.

With back-to-back wins over the Chargers and Lions, the Packers have moved into eighth place in the NFC playoff chase. With a 5-6 record, they are one game behind the Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks for the last two wild-card spots.

While Super Bowl long shots, everything seems to be trending the right way for Green Bay to continue its season for at least one more week in January.

After a Sunday night showdown at Lambeau Field against the powerhouse Kansas City Chiefs – the Chiefs are 6.5-point favorites at SI Sportsbook – the Packers will close the regular season with five winnable games. The final stretch: at the Giants, home against the Buccaneers, at the Panthers and Vikings and home against the Bears. Only the Vikings have a winning record.

Meanwhile, the final six games for the:

Vikings: home vs. the Bears, at the Raiders and Bengals, home against the Lions and Packers and the finale at the Lions. The Vikings will be getting back elite receiver Justin Jefferson, perhaps for Monday against the Bears, but will need to get by with journeyman quarterback Joshua Dobbs.

Seahawks: at the Cowboys and 49ers, home against the Eagles, at the Titans, home against the Steelers and at the Cardinals. Seattle has lost three of its last four games headed into a three-game stretch against opponents with a combined record of 25-7.

The Packers’ over/under win total after a four-game winning streak had dropped to 6.5. Now, it’s up to 8.5 – tied with Seattle and Minnesota at DraftKings.

At SI Sportsbook, the Packers are +20000 to win the Super Bowl (the Chiefs, Eagles and 49ers are +450) and +2000 to win the NFC North (the Lions are -1613 and the Vikings are +550).

Three Overreactions From Packers’ Victory Over Lions

Here are the NFC standings heading into Monday night's Bears-Vikings game, followed by their playoff odds at FanDuel.

1. Philadelphia: 10-1 (first, NFC East): Odds: None.

2. San Francisco: 8-3 (first, NFC West). Odds: None.

3. Detroit: 8-3 (first, NFC North). Odds: -6000

4. Atlanta: 5-6 (second, NFC South). Odds: -122.

5. Dallas: 8-3 (second, NFC East). Odds: -8000

6. Minnesota: 6-5 (second, NFC North). Odds: -230.

7. Seattle: 6-5 (second, NFC West): +116.

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8. Green Bay: 5-6 (third, NFC North). Odds: +118.

9. L.A. Rams: 5-6 (third, NFC West). Odds: +270.

10. New Orleans: 5-6 (second, NFC South). Odds: +100

11. Tampa Bay: 4-7 (third, NFC South). Odds: +310.

12. N.Y. Giants: 4-8 (last, NFC East). Odds: +None.

13. Washington: 4-8 (third, NFC East). Odds: +2200.

14. Chicago: 3-8 (last, NFC North). Odds: +3000.

15. Arizona: 2-10 (last, NFC West): Odds: +None.

16. Carolina: 1-10 (last, NFC South). Odds: +None.