Big Swing in Packers’ First-Round NFL Draft Odds

With the NFL Draft just hours away, there was a significant change in the first-pick projection for the Green Bay Packers.
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GREEN BAY, Wis. – Who needs to draft a receiver or tight end in the first round when you’ve got Aaron Rodgers or Brett Favre throwing the football?

With the trade of Rodgers to the New York Jets this week, the Packers are set to embark on a new era with Jordan Love at quarterback. Could this be the year in which they draft a receiver in the first round for the first time since 2002 or a tight end for the first time since 2000?

That’s the belief, at least based on new NFL Draft odds at FanDuel Sportsbook that include some significant changes.

Armed with the 13th pick of the draft, tight end is the betting favorite to be the position for Green Bay’s first selection at +170. Notre Dame’s Michael Mayer, an every-down presence, and Utah’s Dalton Kincaid, a superb receiving threat whose back problem shouldn’t be an issue, are potential No. 1 picks.

Receiver has the second-shortest odds at +230. If he’s on the board, Ohio State’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba would be worthy of breaking the two-decade drought.

Defensive line (which includes edge/3-4 outside linebacker) is +300. Iowa’s Lukas Van Ness, if he’s still available at No. 13, might be too good to pass up.

Offensive lineman – at least one from the group of Ohio State’s Paris Johnson, Northwestern’s Peter Skoronski, Tennessee’s Darnell Wright and Georgia’s Broderick Jones should be available – is +430. Cornerback (+1100), safety (+4000), quarterback (+5000), off-the-ball linebacker (+5000) and running back (+7500) are distant choices.

When news of the Rodgers trade broke on Monday, defensive line (including edge) and receiver were the co-favorites at +200, with tight end +340 and offensive line +450. Prior to that, defensive line (including edge) was the betting favorite at +200. That was followed by receiver, tight end and offensive line jumbled together at +300.

Green Bay remains the team favored to select Smith-Njigba at FanDuel. The Packers are +230 – right between the +210 and +250 from earlier in the week. The Houston Texans, who pick 12th, are +340. The New England Patriots, who pick 14th, are +650. The Jets with Rodgers are +1000.

Notre Dame’s Michael Mayer is the favorite to be the first tight end selected. The Dallas Cowboys are the favorite to make it happen at +420, with the Packers right behind at +500.

Of note, here are some over/unders on draft slot: Skoronski, 10.5; Smith-Njigba, 12.5; Jones, 14.5; Mayer, 21.5; Kincaid, 24.5;

At SI Sportsbook, defensive line (including edge) remains the favorite to be Green Bay’s first choice.

More Green Bay Packers News

Packer Central first-round prediction: Yes, a receiver

Kiper, Jeremiah, Brugler among 35 first-round mocks

Gutekunst on key element to the Aaron Rodgers trade

Pick 13 vs. Pick 15: Two picks, a huge difference

Matt LaFleur: Aaron Rodgers made me better coach

Aaron Rodgers says hello

Aaron Rodgers says goodbye

Over/unders on potential first-round picks

Updated list of Packers’ draft picks


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Bill Huber
BILL HUBER

Bill Huber, who has covered the Green Bay Packers since 2008, is the publisher of Packers On SI, a Sports Illustrated channel. E-mail: packwriter2002@yahoo.com History: Huber took over Packer Central in August 2019. Twitter: https://twitter.com/BillHuberNFL Background: Huber graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater, where he played on the football team, in 1995. He worked in newspapers in Reedsburg, Wisconsin Dells and Shawano before working at The Green Bay News-Chronicle and Green Bay Press-Gazette from 1998 through 2008. With The News-Chronicle, he won several awards for his commentaries and page design. In 2008, he took over as editor of Packer Report Magazine, which was founded by Hall of Fame linebacker Ray Nitschke, and PackerReport.com. In 2019, he took over the new Sports Illustrated site Packer Central, which he has grown into one of the largest sites in the Sports Illustrated Media Group.