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#10 Nevada vs. #7 Dayton Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds Today, 3/21

Smack-dab in the middle of today’s 16 games is a matchup between the #10 Nevada Wolf Pack and #7 Dayton Flyers. This is a contest that seemed to be one of the most difficult for fans to pick when filling out their brackets, and that is also illustrated in the betting markets with an extremely tight spread of just 1.5 points.

To help figure out how to approach this matchup, we provide our best Nevada vs. Dayton prediction and a huge $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus that can be unlocked with the BetMGM promo code SPORTSILLUSTRATED.

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🏀 NEVADA VS. DAYTON PREDICTION: Wolf Pack Money Line (-120 at BetMGM)

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#10 Nevada vs. #7 Dayton Prediction for Today's March Madness Game, 3/21

Right off the bat, it’s worth mentioning that our experts felt as though the Wolf Pack were going to be a better seed than a #10. In fact, if we were told they were in a #7 vs. #10 matchup, we’d expect them to be the #7 seed.

It seems that oddsmakers agree, as they are actually the favorite in this matchup. Even still, there is value to be had by taking them on the money line and not needing to sweat out a spread pick. As we go through why our best bet is on the Wolf Pack, we’ll share some trends that support a spread pick as well, but let’s dive into our top Nevada vs. Dayton prediction.

#10 Nevada vs. #7 Dayton Expert Picks & Best Bet

As mentioned, we aren’t surprised to see Nevada favored in this matchup. They ended up with a lower seed than anticipated after a rough showing in the Mountain West Tournament, which was certainly surprising after earning a #2 seed.

However, we still trust the play of their backcourt led by Kenan Blackshear. He has helped the Wolf Pack be one of the most balanced teams in the country, which in turn, has led them to be one of the most favorable teams for bettors as well. They boast one of the best against-the-spread records at 20-11 this season.

That has also led to plenty of outright victories, as Nevada finished the season with a 26-7 record. As much as doubters may want to focus on the Wolf Pack’s early exit in the Mountain West Tournament, the Flyers did the same in the Atlantic 10 Tournament, losing in the first round to Duquesne, a team that hadn’t made the NCAA Tournament since 1977.

They will bring a clash of styles to this matchup, as they rely on the post-presence of DaRon Holmes II. While that may be true, we’ve seen enough from the Wolf Pack to trust their backcourt to outproduce Holmes. That included wins in back-to-back games against Utah State, who is a #8 seed, and San Diego State, who was a Final Four team just last year.

With that type of track record against NCAA Tournament teams, our best Nevada vs. Dayton prediction is on the Wolf Pack Money Line (-120 at BetMGM).

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#10 Nevada vs. #7 Dayton Betting Odds & Lines at BetMGM Sportsbook

We covered the latest Nevada vs. Dayton odds at BetMGM Sportsbook for today’s matchup followed by a payout breakdown for our best bet:

  • Point Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack -105 (-110) vs. Dayton Flyers +1.5 (-110)
  • Money Line: Nevada Wolf Pack (-120) vs. Dayton Flyers (-+100)
  • Game Total (Over/Under): Over 136.5 (-110) vs. Under 136.5 (-110)

So, a $12 bet on our Nevada vs. Dayton prediction of the Wolf Pack Money Line (-120 at BetMGM) profits $10, as long as they win the game by any amount.

#10 Nevada vs. #7 Dayton Starting Lineups Featuring Kenan Blackshear & DaRon Holmes II

We’ve also shared the projected starting lineups for both the Wolf Pack and Flyers to provide everything possible for the matchup:

Nevada Wolf Pack Starting Lineup:

  • Jarod Lucas
  • Kenan Blackshear
  • Nick Davidson
  • Tre Coleman
  • KJ Hymes

Dayton Flyers Starting Lineup:

  • Javon Bennett
  • Enoch Cheeks
  • Nate Santos
  • Kobe Elvis
  • DaRon Holmes II

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