ESPN's FPI heavily favors No. 17 Miami in prime time matchup with Georgia Tech

Can Georgia Tech pull an upset against Miami tonight?

Georgia Tech is traveling down south to face the Miami Hurricanes tonight and the Yellow Jackets are hoping to prove that the team that lost to Bowling Green last week is not the team they will be the rest of the season. Miami is coming off of a bye week and this is the start of conference play for the Hurricanes. Miami is favored by three touchdowns in this game and most analytical systems agree that Miami should be a big favorite against Georgia Tech, including ESPN's FPI. 

ESPN uses its FPI (Football Power Index) as an advanced analytical model to help look at matchups and predict outcomes. In ESPN's own words: "FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI."

ESPN's FPI is giving Miami a 92% chance to win this game. The Hurricanes are ranked 15th overall in FPI and Georgia Tech is ranked 67th. The Yellow Jackets dropped 19 spots from 48th after losing to Bowling Green last week. 

Miami has won two straight games over Georgia Tech, but the last time the Yellow Jackets got a victory in this series was 2019 and it was a similar situation that they find themselves in today. The team was 1-5 and had a string of really bad losses coming into the game, but they found a way to win as a massive underdog. This Miami team is much better than the one the Yellow Jackets beat in 2019, but it goes to show that anything can happen in college football. 

How to Watch Georgia Tech at Miami

Who: Georgia Tech at Miami

When: 8:00 p.m., Saturday

Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL

TV: ACC Network

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Published
Jackson Caudell
JACKSON CAUDELL

Jackson Caudell has been covering Georgia Tech Athletics For On SI since March 2022 and the Atlanta Hawks for On SI since October 2023. Jackson is also the co-host of the Bleav in Georgia Tech podcast and he loves to bring thoughtful analysis and comprehensive coverage to everything that he does. Find him on X @jacksoncaudell