76ers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Today, 3/3
Believe it or not, the Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks find themselves in similar positions in their respective conferences, which makes tonight’s matchup between them even more interesting. With that in mind, our experts have made sure to break down their best 76ers vs. Mavericks prediction and player props for you.
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PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS. DALLAS MAVERICKS PREDICTION: Under 238.5 Points (-110 at BetMGM)
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76ers vs. Mavericks Prediction for Today, 3/3 on ABC
As it has been for quite some time now, the storyline for the 76ers will be the team simply trying to stay afloat without reigning MVP Joel Embiid. However, they now have to have the Play-In Tournament in the back of their minds.
Things aren’t quite that bad, but they’ve still fallen from the #3 seed to the cluster of teams sitting in fourth through eighth in the Eastern Conference. Dallas finds themselves in a similar spot in the Western Conference, so we’re not looking to trust either team in this matchup. Instead, we’re focused on a lower-scoring game.
We’re not saying it will be extremely low scoring overall, but with the way oddsmakers have listed over/unders for Mavs’ games, we’re simply taking advantage. Dallas’ defense has been poor all season, but a banged-up Philly squad isn’t the team to exploit that. Taking an under in a game that features Luka Doncic can also cause hesitation, which is understandable.
However, he can fill up his personal box score while also having the game overall stay under. That’s what we saw when these teams met less than a month ago, which stayed under the total by a whopping 23 points. Therefore, our best 76ers vs. Mavericks prediction for tonight is under 238.5 (-110 at BetMGM).
76ers vs. Mavericks Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Tyrese Maxey & Luka Doncic
When it comes to our 76ers vs. Mavericks player props, we’re going to be focusing on the two biggest stars remaining on the court without Embiid, so let’s get right into it. For Philly, that would be Tyrese Maxey, who looks destined to win Most Improved Player, and rightfully so.
He has been the key piece in terms of holding the team together without Embiid, averaging just under 26 points per game. We don’t foresee a ton of points overall, but the ones that are scored by Philly should be attributed to Maxey. Prior to Friday’s game, Maxey had five or more assists in seven straight games, so he’s clearly distributing well.
He also had 22 and 29 points in the last two games against Dallas last season, and that was before he was even a full-time starter. With the Mavs’ defense looking even worse this year, we’re taking Tyrese Maxey over 33.5 points + assists (-120 at BetMGM).
Our other 76ers vs. Mavericks player props pick isn’t surprising in terms of who we’re targeting, but how we’re targeting him. Much like we’re taking advantage of the oddsmakers in the over/under market, we’re doing the same in the PAR market (points + assists + rebounds) for Luka Doncic.
He has been an absolute machine filling up all three categories, and that has led to quite an inflated number. We wouldn’t go as far as to say he’ll have a terrible night, but he hasn’t exactly lit it up against Philly. When these teams played a little over three weeks ago, Luka went for 19 points, eight rebounds and three assists.
By no means is that an awful game, but it’s not the 40-15-12 type of nights that we’ve been seeing from him. So, this is a rare case of us going with Luka Doncic under 51.5 points + assists + rebounds (-110 at BetMGM).
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76ers vs. Mavericks Odds & Lines via BetMGM Sportsbook for Today, March 3rd, 2024
Whether you prefer our 76ers vs. Mavericks prediction, player props or another standard market, here are the latest BetMGM Sportsbook odds:
- Point spread: Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 (-110) vs. Dallas Mavericks -7.5 (-110)
- Money line: Philadelphia 76ers (+280) vs. Dallas Mavericks (-350)
- Game total (over/under): Over 238.5 (-110) vs. Under 238.5 (-110)
- Tyrese Maxey points + assists: Over 33.5 (-120) vs. Under 33.5 (-110)
- Luka Doncic points + assists + rebounds: Over 51.5 (-120) vs. Under 51.5 (-110)
Using those prices, a $110 bet on our 76ers vs. Mavericks prediction of under 238.5 (-110 at BetMGM) profits $100 as long as the game ends with 238 or fewer points. As for our 76ers vs. Mavericks player props, a $120 bet on Tyrese Maxey profits $100 as long as his points and assists add up to at least 34, while a $110 bet on Luka Doncic profits $100 as long as his points, assists and rebounds add up to 51 or fewer.
76ers vs. Mavericks Injury Report and Projected Starters for Today's Game on ABC
The last piece that we have for you are tonight’s projected starters for both the 76ers and Mavericks:
Philadelphia 76ers:
- Tyrese Maxey
- Buddy Hield
- Tobias Harris
- Nic Batum
- Paul Reed
Dallas Mavericks:
- Luka Doncic (day-to-day)
- Kyrie Irving
- Josh Green
- PJ Washington
- Dereck Lively II
As will be the case for likely the remainder of the regular season, the biggest injury of arguably the entire NBA is Philly’s Joel Embiid, and they are also still without De’Anthony Melton.
Remember, the big man being out certainly is a factor in our 76ers vs. Mavericks prediction focusing on a low-scoring game, and whether you fade or follow our pick, do so with a guaranteed $150 bonus by joining BetMGM Sportsbook with promo code FNPHILLY.
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