Rodgers’ Next-Team Odds Change Again; Sportsbook Explains Why

Why do the next-team odds for Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers continue to evolve?

GREEN BAY, Wis. – The New York Jets, perhaps the logical front-runner if not the betting favorite to acquire Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, have closed the gap in the latest update by DraftKings Sportsbook.

In new odds that were live on Saturday morning, the Las Vegas Raiders remain the favorite at -350. The Packers’ odds lengthened from +175 on Friday to +225. The Jets, who were practically a coin flip with the Packers a couple weeks ago, had fallen to +600 but closed to +450 in the update.

The Washington Commanders and Indianapolis Colts, two teams who’ve been on the fringes despite their obvious needs at the position, had their odd shorten to +1800.

By implied probability, the Raiders are 77.8 percent, the Packers are 30.8 percent and the Jets are 18.2 percent. The Commanders, Buccaneers and Colts are 5.3 percent. (More teams in the accompanying video.)

Why the daily shifts?

“We put them up based on the information that we know, and that’s social media, any stories out there,” Johnny Avello, DraftKings’ director of race and sportsbook, said from Arizona on Friday. “We’re scouring for it constantly. We’ll move it on different stories, we’ll move it on bets.

“The Packers opened up a small favorite and the Jets were close behind. Now, all of a sudden, the Raiders are getting this monster push on bets and chatter. So, they’re a pretty good-sized favorite at -350, which is put up $350 to win $100. That’s a prohibitive favorite.”

A one-word tweet and more expansive comments by Raiders receiver Davante Adams are reasons why the Raiders are such heavy favorites.

“If he wants him, he’s probably talking to the front office, also. We have to react to that,” Avello said. “It’s not like we’re not going to make some crazy move off of that, but we do have to react. We have to watch anything out there that’s going to swing things toward a certain team.”

At one point, the Packers were +600 to retain Rodgers. Bettors saw value there and put money on Green Bay, which caused their odds to shorten.

The Jets’ odds shortened, too, based on comments by owner Woody Johnson at NFL Honors.

“We are going to look for an experienced quarterback to come in and help us and help develop these other young players,” he told ESPN.com’s Dianna Russini.

“You want the best quarterback that you can get to lead the Jets. I think with a good quarterback and our great defense – and the defense will be a lot better with a quarterback that’s actually doing it – it’s plug and play. If a quarterback comes in, it’s kind of an ideal situation.”

At PointsBet Sportsbook, Rodgers at +200 is the betting favorite to be the Jets’ Week 1 starter.

In individual-team markets at SportsBetting.ag, Rodgers remains the favorite to be the starter for two teams.

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and Jets coach Robert Saleh at joint practices in 2021. (Dan Powers/USA Today Sports Images)

Follow the Movement for Aaron Rodgers’ Next-Team Odds

Team: Odds as of Jan. 23, Jan. 28, Jan. 31, Feb. 7 (a.m.) and Feb. 7 (p.m.), Feb. 9 and Feb. 11 via DraftKings.

Las Vegas Raiders: +550 on Jan. 23; +750 on Jan. 28; +750 on Jan. 31; -450 on Feb. 7 (a.m.); -390 on Feb. 7 (p.m.); -350 on Feb. 9; -350 on Feb. 11

Green Bay Packers: -125 on Jan. 23; -115 on Jan. 28; -110 on Jan. 31; +600 on Feb. 7 (a.m.); +300 on Feb. 7 (p.m.); +250 on Feb. 9; +175 on Feb. 10 (only change that day); +225 on Feb. 11

New York Jets: +750 on Jan. 23; +115 on Jan. 28; +110 on Jan. 31; +350 on Feb. 7 (a.m.); +600 on Feb. 7 (p.m.); +600 on Feb. 9; +450 on Feb. 11

Washington Commanders: +1800 on Jan. 23; +1800 on Jan. 28; +1800 on Jan. 31; +2000 on Feb. 7; +2000 on Feb. 9; +1800 on Feb. 11

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +2000 on Jan. 23; +2000 on Jan. 28; +2000 on Jan. 31; +1500 on Feb. 7; +1500 on Feb. 9; +1800 on Feb. 11

Indianapolis Colts: +1500 on Jan. 23; +1000 on Jan. 28; +750 on Jan. 31; +2500 on Feb. 7; +2500 on Feb. 9; +1800 on Feb. 11

New England Patriots: +1200 on Jan. 23; +1500 on Jan. 28; +1500 on Jan. 31; +2000 on Feb. 7; +2000 on Feb. 9; +2000 on Feb. 11

Tennessee Titans: +1500 on Jan. 23; +1500 on Jan. 28; +1500 on Jan. 31; +2000 on Feb. 7; +2000 on Feb. 9; +2000 on Feb. 11

San Francisco 49ers: +1000 on Jan. 23; +1800 on Jan. 28; +2000 on Jan. 31; +2000 on Feb. 7; +2000 on Feb. 9; +2000 on Feb. 11

Carolina Panthers: +2500 on Feb. 7; +2500 on Feb. 9; +2500 on Feb. 11

New York Giants: +4000 on Feb. 7; +4000 on Feb. 9; +5000 on Feb. 11

Miami Dolphins: +1500 on Jan. 23; +1200 on Jan. 28; +1000 on Jan. 31; +5000 on Feb. 7; +5000 on Feb. 9; +5000 on Feb. 11

More Green Bay Packers Offseason News

You can bet on next year's Super Bowl winner, too. The #Packers, I found, from +2500 to +3300. It's interesting (to me, anyway) considering the QB situation, so I reached out to someone in Vegas to discuss.https://t.co/OFVoB0YHzA

— Bill Huber (@BillHuberNFL) February 11, 2023

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